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Thread: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

  1. #256
    Kmac5 KoryMac5's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by Todd Gack View Post
    Again, it's not cases. . . yet. Click on the "Effective Reproductions" tab. The rate of infections is decreasing meaning the case count will soon decrease.
    Define soon...

    Covid rejects any attempts at being defined or predicted.
    If you have a losing record at Reds games, please stop going.


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  3. #257
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by KoryMac5 View Post
    Define soon...

    Covid rejects any attempts at being defined or predicted.
    It’s here dude. It’s been below 1 for a day or two.

  4. #258
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Jacksonville, FL
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 132K

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,557
    27th - 64,228
    28th - 67,971
    29th - 72,923
    30th - 77,153
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 131,406
    15th - 131,863
    16th - 132,707
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  5. #259
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Jacksonville, FL
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    14,669

    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 139K

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,557
    27th - 64,228
    28th - 67,971
    29th - 72,923
    30th - 77,153
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,933
    17th - 137,007
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    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  6. #260
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Jax, I doubt we we'll see a national peak for a while. Not sure why you keep posting about that.

  7. #261
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by Todd Gack View Post
    Jax, I doubt we we'll see a national peak for a while. Not sure why you keep posting about that.
    I think that's the whole point of this thread...

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  9. #262
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Jacksonville, FL
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    14,669

    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 140K

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,557
    27th - 64,228
    28th - 67,971
    29th - 72,923
    30th - 77,153
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 139,817
    19th - 140,499
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  10. #263
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Jacksonville, FL
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    14,669

    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 147k. I've learned to wait till Tuesday to let weekend numbers backfill, otherwise they look temporarily like a decrease which they are not. The 7 day average continues to climb. However, it seems to be climbing at a less steep rate. And there's a chance that we might be peaking.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,557
    27th - 64,228
    28th - 67,971
    29th - 72,923
    30th - 77,153
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 145,452
    21st - 146,349
    22nd - 147,470
    23rd - 147,693
    Last edited by JaxRed; 08-24-2021 at 03:00 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  11. #264
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Apr 2000
    Location
    Jacksonville, FL
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    14,669

    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 151k.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,557
    27th - 64,228
    28th - 67,971
    29th - 72,923
    30th - 77,153
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 146,325
    21st - 147,390
    22nd - 148,963
    23rd - 150,188
    24th - 151,038
    Last edited by JaxRed; 08-25-2021 at 05:53 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  12. #265
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Jacksonville, FL
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 155k. Total for 27th was 190K so...

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,557
    27th - 64,228
    28th - 67,971
    29th - 72,923
    30th - 77,153
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 146,325
    21st - 147,390
    22nd - 149,645
    23rd - 150,944
    24th - 152,341
    25th - 154,386
    26th - 154,846
    27th - 155,905
    Last edited by JaxRed; 08-28-2021 at 12:41 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  13. #266
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Jacksonville, FL
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 159. But.... there are some indication that we might have peaked. The rise in new cases is slowing and the worst states like Florida cases are declining.
    NY Time has article about it today, indicating Delta is following the same pattern over and over, where it surges for 2 months and falls back.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    17th - 33,588
    18th - 35,306
    19th - 37,145
    20th - 39,266
    21st - 42,792
    22nd - 46,484
    23rd - 50,629
    24th - 54,100
    25th - 56,976
    26th - 59,557
    27th - 64,228
    28th - 67,971
    29th - 72,923
    30th - 77,153
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 146,325
    21st - 147,390
    22nd - 149,645
    23rd - 150,944
    24th - 152,341
    25th - 155,036
    26th - 154,954
    27th - 157,302
    28th - 158,634
    29th - 159,030
    30th - 159,118
    Last edited by JaxRed; 09-01-2021 at 08:45 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  14. #267
    Daffy Duck RedTeamGo!'s Avatar
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    Apr 2013
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    Cleveland, OH
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    July 5th to August 30th is just insane
    What would you say.....ya do here?

  15. #268
    Member
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by RedTeamGo! View Post
    July 5th to August 30th is just insane
    It's January 10 to February 22, but unfortunately in reverse.

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  17. #269
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Location
    Jacksonville, FL
    Posts
    14,669

    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No peak seen yet. 7 Day averages hit 164k. If Covid is peaking it did a pretty bad job so far.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 146,325
    21st - 147,390
    22nd - 149,645
    23rd - 150,944
    24th - 152,341
    25th - 155,036
    26th - 154,954
    27th - 158,318
    28th - 160,254
    29th - 161,144
    30th - 163,616

    Sep 1 - 163,949
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  18. #270
    I don't want to grow up Red Raindog's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Labor Day will nothing but add to the numbers

    Our local hospital is on the verge of having to divert patients somewhere else due to capacity issues


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