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Thread: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

  1. #286
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    I'm aware who owns WSJ. It's still one of the world's best newspapers. Just has a terrible editorial page. Ditto NYT.

    It's pretty well impossible to avoid propaganda. But those are about your two best options. Mix in some Financial Times and Economist and you're doing about as well as you can.

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  4. #287
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Al Jazeera and BBC are good sources of international fact based journalism.
    Gratitude + Forgiveness = Happiness
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  6. #288
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    We might have had a peak. Numbers are down. They were 171K on the 10th..... which is pretty far above average. Bears watching.

    7 Day averages hit 165k.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 146,325
    21st - 147,390
    22nd - 149,645
    23rd - 150,944
    24th - 152,341
    25th - 155,036
    26th - 154,954
    27th - 158,318
    28th - 160,254
    29th - 161,144
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 2nd - 165,632
    Sep 3rd - 165,529
    Sep 4th - 163,496
    Sep 5th - 163,879
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 7th - 155,816
    Sep 8th - 150,810
    Sep 9th - 148,016
    Last edited by JaxRed; 09-10-2021 at 11:40 PM.
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  8. #289
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Numbers are down. Last couple days are up. hopefully not a trend.

    7 Day averages hit 146k.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 146,325
    21st - 147,390
    22nd - 149,645
    23rd - 150,944
    24th - 152,341
    25th - 155,036
    26th - 154,954
    27th - 158,318
    28th - 160,254
    29th - 161,144
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 2nd - 165,632
    Sep 3rd - 165,529
    Sep 4th - 163,496
    Sep 5th - 163,879
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 7th - 155,816
    Sep 8th - 151,870
    Sep 9th - 149,417
    Sep 10th - 147,282
    Sep 11th - 148,523
    Sep 12th - 148,550
    Sep 13th - 146,534
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
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  9. #290
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Unfortunately, we seem to be dealing with the surge moving north. I don't thnk it will get as bad in the northern states as it did in the south, but the reduction in cases in the hardest hit southern states where this surge seems to be burning out (Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia) are largely being offset by increases in states like Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Virginia, Pennsylvania and New York. Also, Texas hasn't slowed down yet the way the southeastern states have. Some declines in Texas would go a long way towards moving the national case numbers in the right direction.

  10. #291
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Numbers are up over last few days.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    1st - 85,100
    2nd - 88,897
    3rd - 93,324
    4th - 97,725
    5th - 101,626
    6th - 105,620
    7th - 109,897
    8th - 114,234
    9th - 117,354
    10th - 120,605
    11th - 124,260
    12th - 126,560
    13th - 129,471
    14th - 133,238
    15th - 134,340
    16th - 135,991
    17th - 137,874
    18th - 140,520
    19th - 143,350
    20th - 146,325
    21st - 147,390
    22nd - 149,645
    23rd - 150,944
    24th - 152,341
    25th - 155,036
    26th - 154,954
    27th - 158,318
    28th - 160,254
    29th - 161,144
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 2nd - 165,632
    Sep 3rd - 165,529
    Sep 4th - 163,496
    Sep 5th - 163,879
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 7th - 155,816
    Sep 8th - 151,870
    Sep 9th - 149,417
    Sep 10th - 147,282
    Sep 11th - 148,523
    Sep 12th - 148,550
    Sep 13th - 147,690
    Sep 14th - 152,616
    Sep 15th - 152,997
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
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  11. #292
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Numbers continue to come down. The whole 2 month wave thing continues....

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    2nd - 88,897
    9th - 117,354
    16th - 135,991
    23rd - 150,944
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 13th - 147,690
    Sep 14th - 152,616
    Sep 15th - 154,489
    Sep 16th - 151,565
    Sep 17th - 148,967
    Sep 18th - 144,115
    Sep 19th - 138,688
    Sep 20th - 135,854
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  13. #293
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Numbers continue to come down. The whole 2 month wave thing continues.... September 2nd appears to be the peak of this wave.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    2nd - 88,897
    9th - 117,354
    16th - 135,991
    23rd - 150,944
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 13th - 147,690
    Sep 14th - 152,616
    Sep 15th - 154,489
    Sep 16th - 151,565
    Sep 17th - 148,967
    Sep 18th - 144,115
    Sep 19th - 140,325
    Sep 20th - 138,108
    Sep 21st - 135,309
    Sep 22nd - 130,434
    Sep 23rd - 126,389
    Last edited by JaxRed; 09-25-2021 at 10:01 AM.
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    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  14. #294
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Numbers continue to come down. The whole 2 month wave thing continues.... September 2nd appears to be the peak of this wave. Numbers have dropped by 50K this month.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    2nd - 88,897
    9th - 117,354
    16th - 135,991
    23rd - 150,944
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 13th - 147,690
    Sep 14th - 152,616
    Sep 15th - 154,489
    Sep 16th - 151,565
    Sep 17th - 150,185
    Sep 18th - 145,457
    Sep 19th - 140,428
    Sep 20th - 138,134
    Sep 21st - 135,364
    Sep 22nd - 130,600
    Sep 23rd - 126,662
    Sep 24th - 122,262
    Sep 25th - 119,150
    Sep 26th - 117,226
    Sep 27th - 115,515
    Last edited by JaxRed; 09-29-2021 at 11:00 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  15. #295
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    It'll be interesting to see what happens around the time of what would be the next two month peak. The colder weather usually breeds more isolation anyway. The holidays could spike things, however.

  16. #296
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    COVID cases fall by 25%, fueling hope that Delta has peaked

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/covid-cas...3OjPOep2TMEUy_

  17. #297
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Numbers continue to come down. The whole 2 month wave thing continues.... September 2nd appears to be the peak of this wave. Numbers have dropped by 50K this month.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    2nd - 88,897
    9th - 117,354
    16th - 135,991
    23rd - 150,944
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 13th - 147,690
    Sep 21st - 135,364
    Sep 22nd - 130,600
    Sep 23rd - 126,662
    Sep 24th - 122,262
    Sep 25th - 119,150
    Sep 26th - 118,740
    Sep 27th - 117,372
    Sep 28th - 113,307
    Sep 29th - 112,461
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  18. #298
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Numbers continue to come down. The whole 2 month wave thing continues.... September 2nd appears to be the peak of this wave. Numbers dropped by 50K this month.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    2nd - 88,897
    9th - 117,354
    16th - 135,991
    23rd - 150,944
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 13th - 147,690
    Sep 21st - 135,364
    Sep 22nd - 130,600
    Sep 23rd - 126,662
    Sep 24th - 122,262
    Sep 25th - 119,150
    Sep 26th - 118,740
    Sep 27th - 117,372
    Sep 28th - 114,381
    Sep 29th - 112,669
    Sep 30th - 110,690
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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  19. #299
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Looks like the numbers are coming down at the same pace they climbed.

  20. #300
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Seven Average should drop under 100K any day now.

    Numbers continue to come down. The whole 2 month wave thing continues.... September 2nd appears to be the peak of this wave. Numbers dropped by 50K In Sept.

    Seven Day Averages -

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    29th - 64,678

    April
    5th - 65,723
    12th - 70,102
    13th - 72,314
    14th - 72,845
    19th - 69,697
    26th - 58,371

    May
    3rd - 50,806
    10th - 40,395
    17th - 32,081
    24th - 25,405
    31st - 18,881

    June
    7th - 15,686
    14th - 13,189
    21st - 12.048
    28th - 12,605

    July
    5th - 13,854
    12th - 21,984
    19th - 37,145
    26th - 59,557
    31st - 81,836

    August
    2nd - 88,897
    9th - 117,354
    16th - 135,991
    23rd - 150,944
    30th - 162,761
    31st - 164,691

    Sep 1st - 165,729
    Sep 6th - 162,928
    Sep 13th - 147,690
    Sep 21st - 135,364
    Sep 22nd - 130,600
    Sep 23rd - 126,662
    Sep 24th - 122,262
    Sep 25th - 119,150
    Sep 26th - 118,740
    Sep 27th - 117,372
    Sep 28th - 114,381
    Sep 29th - 112,638
    Sep 30th - 110,696

    Oct 1st - 108,667
    Oct 2nd - 106,631
    Oct 3rd - 104,780
    Oct 4th - 103,035
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

    https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php


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