No idea, but you know Missouri and Kansas don't talk. The war between Kansas and Missouri could really re-erupt at any time. 170 years isn't long enough to cool things off.
Missouri showed 738 cases, so I'm not sure where the 50k cases SeaRay was talking about went.
Last edited by Boston Red; 03-09-2021 at 09:56 PM.
My source spreads them out when the date is known, so there is no inflation based on this.Originally Posted by Sea Ray
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
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Numbers jumped a bit. Into the 50's which is honestly where i expected yesterday's numbers. 55,683. 7 Day average falls to 58,564
Seven Day Averages
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
12th - 254,607
13th - 250,943
14th - 244,551
15th - 236,084
16th - 228,802
17th - 222,516
18th - 212,689
19th - 204,907
20th - 197,955
21st - 192,337
22nd -184,698
23rd - 180,135
24th - 175,239
25th - 175,473
26th - 172,222
27th - 167,963
28th - 163,753
29th - 160,376
30th - 156,350
31st - 151,857
1st - 148,380
2nd - 143,101
3rd - 136,489
4th - 130,933
5th - 125,533
6th - 120,227
7th - 117,373
8th - 112,622
9th - 110,243
10th -108,039
11th - 105,527
12th - 101,421
13th - 98,367
14th - 94,829
15th - 89,437
16th - 84,696
17th - 81,033
18th - 75,779
19th - 72,724
20th - 70,434
21st - 69,244
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,453
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,243
8th - 58,564
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Another jump up. We hit 60K. 60,355. . 7 Day average still falls to 57,621. Could be headed for a little plateau again. We'll monitor.
Seven Day Averages
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
12th - 254,607
13th - 250,943
14th - 244,551
15th - 236,084
16th - 228,802
17th - 222,516
18th - 212,689
19th - 204,907
20th - 197,955
21st - 192,337
22nd -184,698
23rd - 180,135
24th - 175,239
25th - 175,473
26th - 172,222
27th - 167,963
28th - 163,753
29th - 160,376
30th - 156,350
31st - 151,857
1st - 148,380
2nd - 143,101
3rd - 136,489
4th - 130,933
5th - 125,533
6th - 120,227
7th - 117,373
8th - 112,622
9th - 110,243
10th -108,039
11th - 105,527
12th - 101,421
13th - 98,367
14th - 94,829
15th - 89,437
16th - 84,696
17th - 81,033
18th - 75,779
19th - 72,724
20th - 70,434
21st - 69,244
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,453
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,243
8th - 58,602
9th - 57,621
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Another jump up. We hit 62K. 62,773. Possibly hitting plateau again. Need some low weekend numbers. 7 Day average still falls to 56,927.
Seven Day Averages
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
12th - 254,607
13th - 250,943
14th - 244,551
15th - 236,084
16th - 228,802
17th - 222,516
18th - 212,689
19th - 204,907
20th - 197,955
21st - 192,337
22nd -184,698
23rd - 180,135
24th - 175,239
25th - 175,473
26th - 172,222
27th - 167,963
28th - 163,753
29th - 160,376
30th - 156,350
31st - 151,857
1st - 148,380
2nd - 143,101
3rd - 136,489
4th - 130,933
5th - 125,533
6th - 120,227
7th - 117,373
8th - 112,622
9th - 110,243
10th -108,039
11th - 105,527
12th - 101,421
13th - 98,367
14th - 94,829
15th - 89,437
16th - 84,696
17th - 81,033
18th - 75,779
19th - 72,724
20th - 70,434
21st - 69,244
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,453
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,243
8th - 58,838
9th - 58,602
10th - 56,927
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Bad day today (IMO) 66,785. New York was 9,245. More than 4,000 more than the next highest state. We still saw the average sink just a hair.
Seven Day Averages
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
12th - 254,607
13th - 250,943
14th - 244,551
15th - 236,084
16th - 228,802
17th - 222,516
18th - 212,689
19th - 204,907
20th - 197,955
21st - 192,337
22nd -184,698
23rd - 180,135
24th - 175,239
25th - 175,473
26th - 172,222
27th - 167,963
28th - 163,753
29th - 160,376
30th - 156,350
31st - 151,857
1st - 148,380
2nd - 143,101
3rd - 136,489
4th - 130,933
5th - 125,533
6th - 120,227
7th - 117,373
8th - 112,622
9th - 110,243
10th -108,039
11th - 105,527
12th - 101,421
13th - 98,367
14th - 94,829
15th - 89,437
16th - 84,696
17th - 81,033
18th - 75,779
19th - 72,724
20th - 70,434
21st - 69,244
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,453
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,244
8th - 58,840
9th - 58,603
10th - 56,948
11th - 56,599
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Finally a number under 50K. 48,808. Average sneaks down a bit to 55,356
Bad day today (IMO) 66,785. New York was 9,245. More than 4,000 more than the next highest state. We still saw the average sink just a hair.
Seven Day Averages
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
12th - 254,607
13th - 250,943
14th - 244,551
15th - 236,084
16th - 228,802
17th - 222,516
18th - 212,689
19th - 204,907
20th - 197,955
21st - 192,337
22nd -184,698
23rd - 180,135
24th - 175,239
25th - 175,473
26th - 172,222
27th - 167,963
28th - 163,753
29th - 160,376
30th - 156,350
31st - 151,857
1st - 148,380
2nd - 143,101
3rd - 136,489
4th - 130,933
5th - 125,533
6th - 120,227
7th - 117,373
8th - 112,622
9th - 110,243
10th -108,039
11th - 105,527
12th - 101,421
13th - 98,367
14th - 94,829
15th - 89,437
16th - 84,696
17th - 81,033
18th - 75,779
19th - 72,724
20th - 70,434
21st - 69,244
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,453
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,244
8th - 58,840
9th - 58,603
10th - 57.657
11th - 56,948
12th - 56,804
13th - 55,356
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
A nice low # today that Jax will be here to report on shortly, I'm sure, but one thing I had not noticed is that not all states report every day. In today's numbers, for example, I counted 11 states with no reported numbers. I suppose using the 7 day average as Jax wisely does smooths that out, but it was something I did not appreciate, and I assume I was not the only one, so I thought I would point it out.
States backfill too. So a number that doesn't get reported sometimes 'fills in" a day or too later. So hopefully the 7 day average iron's all that out.
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
As Boston Red alluded to, we had a really low number today. 36,896. Deaths low too. 629. The average went down again.
Seven Day Averages
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
12th - 254,607
13th - 250,943
14th - 244,551
15th - 236,084
16th - 228,802
17th - 222,516
18th - 212,689
19th - 204,907
20th - 197,955
21st - 192,337
22nd -184,698
23rd - 180,135
24th - 175,239
25th - 175,473
26th - 172,222
27th - 167,963
28th - 163,753
29th - 160,376
30th - 156,350
31st - 151,857
1st - 148,380
2nd - 143,101
3rd - 136,489
4th - 130,933
5th - 125,533
6th - 120,227
7th - 117,373
8th - 112,622
9th - 110,243
10th -108,039
11th - 105,527
12th - 101,421
13th - 98,367
14th - 94,829
15th - 89,437
16th - 84,696
17th - 81,033
18th - 75,779
19th - 72,724
20th - 70,434
21st - 69,244
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,453
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,244
8th - 58,840
9th - 58,603
10th - 57.657
11th - 56,948
12th - 56,804
13th - 55,513
14th - 54,373
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Jax, you're doing amazing work in this thread. One suggestion: the seven day average is super useful to see how things are progressing, but I think the week to week comparison would also be useful. For example, Sunday and Monday reports are generally lower, I believe, as they are reporting Saturday and Sunday numbers. So the 7 day smoothing and looking at the trend is great, but it might also be helpful week over week to see what the week ago number was. For example, yesterday's number was 36,896. A week ago Sunday the number was 41,967. That's a good apples to apples comparison as the same days of the week should result from similar circumstances. So when you report your daily numbers, if you gave the number from the same day of the week the previous week I think it would be an interesting data point. For the last week, here is how it would go (just for my own curiosity):
Sunday: 3/14: 36,896 3/7: 41,967
Saturday: 3/13: 48,808 3/6: 58,828
Friday: 3/12: 66,785 3/5: 67,281
Thursday: 3/11: 62,773 3/4: 68,321
Wednesday: 3/10: 60,355 3/3: 66,879
Tuesday: 3/9: 55,683 3/2: 56,890
Monday: 3/8: 45,116 3/1: 53,147
Excellent to see that the numbers went down every single day compared to their week prior numbers. Granted, just by looking at the 7 day average and understanding very basic math it was already clear that was the case, but just for how my brain processes information it is helpful to compare the week prior numbers with the current day numbers to get a sense of the progress we are making week to week.
Thanks again for all the work on this!
Last edited by Boston Red; 03-15-2021 at 04:17 PM.
Sea Ray (03-15-2021)
I don't know if I want to create more work for myself. And that looks like a little more work. But the numbers have started getting so long that I had considered adopting weekly numbers for more than a month or so ago.
I may experiment with it tonight.
Edit: Please don't take this the wrong way, I'm not trying to be snarky..... If you want to do what you are saying feel free to add it to the thread.
For me, I'm not as concerned with comparing this day last week to today. Just the broad average of whether things are coming down.
Last edited by JaxRed; 03-16-2021 at 12:37 AM.
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
A pretty good day today. 45.045. Average creeps down a touch.
Seven Day Averages
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
Mar
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,459
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,249
8th - 58,846
9th - 58,609
10th - 57.780
11th - 56,956
12th - 56,806
13th - 55,795
14th - 55,470
15th - 55,423
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
Pretty much exactly where we were a week ago but the 7 day avg is still dropping
Decent number. 52,650. Average creeps down a touch.
Seven Day Averages
Jan
10th - 252,398
11th - 255,260
18th - 212,689
25th - 175,473
Feb
1st - 148,380
8th - 112,622
15th - 89,437
22nd - 69,588
23rd - 70,684
24th - 70,944
25th - 71,752
26th - 71,281
27th - 70,399
28th - 69,635
Mar
1st - 69,078
2nd - 66,764
3rd - 65,538
4th - 64,173
5th - 62,459
6th - 61,493
7th - 60,249
8th - 58,846
9th - 58,609
10th - 57.780
11th - 56,956
12th - 56,806
13th - 55,795
14th - 55,470
15th - 55,564
16th - 55,093
Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"
https://redsintelligence.com/smforum/index.php
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