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Thread: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

  1. #106
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Replaces 55,683 in the 7 day.


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  3. #107
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Today's bogey is 60,355 to keep the 7 day average on the decline.

  4. #108
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    Today's bogey is 60,355 to keep the 7 day average on the decline.
    Can do that with our eyes closed. (hopefully)

    Edit: Just checked NJ and Michigan............ maybe not.
    Last edited by JaxRed; 03-17-2021 at 03:46 PM.
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  5. #109
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Those two are only up about a combined 1800 over yesterday. Not that big a deal (nationally).

    May not be the number we want to see, but it looks like it will be lower than last Wednesday's number at least when it settles.
    Last edited by Boston Red; 03-17-2021 at 06:55 PM.

  6. #110
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Not a good day. 62,794. Average goes up a bit. Definitely in a bit of plateau. NY jumps out as one of the problems, as well as Michigan. So strikes me as a norther issue. I'll investigate some more.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,962
    13th - 55,955
    14th - 55,664
    15th - 55,774
    16th - 55,299
    17th - 55,595
    Last edited by JaxRed; 03-17-2021 at 10:33 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
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  7. #111
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Do you update the 7 day for updates the Worldometer makes? I noticed yesterday's number was revised up to 63,495, for example (I notice Kansas has numbers now and it previously was a blank, and it must be the same with some others as the Kansas number was only 376). Just curious as they don't make this particularly easy on someone trying to do what you are doing!

    Texas cut its number in half from yesterday. Good sign.
    Last edited by Boston Red; 03-18-2021 at 06:03 PM.

  8. #112
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Yeah I have to go back and update the numbers.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  9. #113
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another not good day. 62,629. Average went down a bit. Definitely in a bit of plateau.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,962
    13th - 55,955
    14th - 55,644
    15th - 55,828
    16th - 55,506
    17th - 55,803
    18th - 55,787
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  10. #114
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Last week was 62,733, so the average staying roughly the same makes sense.

  11. #115
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Let's keep this thread on topic with respect to the numbers Jax posts. Any other discussion about COVID should be in the other COVID thread in this forum.

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    Powel Crosley (03-23-2021),RiverRat13 (03-23-2021)

  13. #116
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Back on board. 58,705. Our plateau continues as we have been in a holding pattern since about the 10th. Almost 2 weeks. Death average per day fell below 1,000 for the first time since Nov 4th

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,926
    19th - 55,623
    20th - 56,428
    21st - 57,080
    22nd - 56,927
    23rd - 57,661
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  14. #117
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Bad number. 66,538. Maybe time to stop calling it a plateau and call it an uptick. We've now gone up an average of 3,000 cases over the last week.

    Who's not a problem? California and Texas. Their number continue to fall.

    Who is a problem?
    Michigan - Up 2,700 from a month ago and 1,200 in the last week
    Pennsylvania - Up 800 from a month ago. All 800 of it in the last week
    New Jersey - Up 1,300 from a month ago and 500 in last week
    Minnesota - Up 500 in last week
    Massachusetts - Up 400 in last week
    Illinois - Up 400 in last week
    Colorado - Up 300 in last week
    Connecticut - Up 200 in last week
    Florida - Up 200 in last week
    Virginia - Up 150 in last week
    Maryland - Up 150 in last week (300 in 2 weeks)


    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,926
    19th - 55,623
    20th - 56,428
    21st - 57,080
    22nd - 56,985
    23rd - 57,836
    24th - 58,629
    Last edited by JaxRed; 03-25-2021 at 12:53 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  15. #118
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another bad number. 67,538. The uptick continues. We've now gone up an average of 3,000 cases over the last week. This time I have the low highlighted to see when we break it. But first we have to stop the uptick.


    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,940
    19th - 55,656
    20th - 56,551
    21st - 57,083
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 57,885
    24th - 58,357
    25th - 58,866
    Last edited by JaxRed; 03-26-2021 at 12:10 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  16. #119
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A really bad number 76,976. The uptick continues. Up 2,500 today. .


    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,940
    19th - 55,656
    20th - 56,551
    21st - 57,083
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,555
    25th - 58,155
    26th - 60,669
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  17. #120
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Sat was a pretty bad number for a weekend. 63,965. Sunday's was much better. 44,096. Two items of note with that number. Michigan who has been climbing like crazy didn't report. And NY reported 9,440 on a freekin weekend.

    I have a feeling this will be lost once numbers backfill, but the average actually went down a touch today.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,940
    19th - 55,656
    20th - 56,551
    21st - 57,083
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,157
    26th - 60,734
    27th - 61,422
    28th - 60,995
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"


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