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Thread: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

  1. #121
    Moderator Powel Crosley's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Is it fair to say that they average has still plateaued or even falling aside from 3-4 states?


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  3. #122
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Quote Originally Posted by Powel Crosley View Post
    Is it fair to say that they average has still plateaued or even falling aside from 3-4 states?
    Possibly.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  4. #123
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    We kept it below 60,000 today. 59,707. As I suspected yesterday, when the numbers backfilled, we had not come down. In fact today, we replaced a pretty low number on the average so we jumped up 2,000. In total since our low point on the 16th, we are almost up 9,000.

    That said.... there are a few hopeful signs that this may have peaked in Michigan, NY and New Jersey in the last couple days. I think there's a decent chance today might be our peak of this latest increase.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,940
    19th - 55,656
    20th - 56,551
    21st - 57,083
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,745
    27th - 61,988
    28th - 62,673
    29th - 64,552
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  5. #124
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Back over 60,000 today. 62,459 We did not peak yesterday as I hoped. But our number today is still below the 7 Day average. So it could still might happen. But, NY, NJ, Michigan still climbing.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,940
    19th - 55,656
    20th - 56,551
    21st - 57,083
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,002
    Last edited by JaxRed; 03-30-2021 at 11:21 PM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  6. #125
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Another bad day . 68,756. NY, NJ, Michigan still climbing.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    2nd - 66,962
    3rd - 65,733
    4th - 64,290
    5th - 62,601
    6th - 61,745
    7th - 60,478
    8th - 59,152
    9th - 58,864
    10th - 57.988
    11th - 57,127
    12th - 56,965
    13th - 55,958
    14th - 55,648
    15th - 55,835
    16th - 55,513
    17th - 55,811
    18th - 55,940
    19th - 55,656
    20th - 56,551
    21st - 57,083
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,308
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  7. #126
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    No fooling.... this was a real bad day. 76,786. March concludes by dropping less than 4,000 overall. A lot of bad states today. NY over 9,000. Michigan 2nd highest at over 7,000 as their average continues to skyrocket. Florida at almost 7.000. NJ climbing.


    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,524

    April
    1st - 66,816
    Last edited by JaxRed; 04-02-2021 at 12:10 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  8. #127
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    The only thing Good about Friday's numbers was they weren't as bad as the day before. 69,986. I will point out that average decreased ever so slightly today.


    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,524

    April
    1st - 66,814
    2nd - 65,753
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  9. #128
    Member Sea Ray's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    That's encouraging that the 7 day average went down, since a week ago (March 25-26) the avg went up. I fear this might be due to lower reporting on Good Friday but we'll see

  10. #129
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    These numbers are so close that they change as they fill in. 66,514. However, that means they are not going up. In fact we have gone down ever so slightly 2 days in a row. And as we tread water, the vaccines continue pounding away.


    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,920
    2nd - 65,914
    3rd - 65,624
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  11. #130
    Member Redsfaithful's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    The death trend plateaued for a few days but seems to be going down again, which is great, and what you would hope to see as vaccinations continue.
    Turning and turning in the widening gyre
    The falcon cannot hear the falconer;

  12. #131
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Yes, cases SHOULD matter less and less as the most vulnerable continue to get vaccinated. The death numbers are lagging a bit harder than I expected, though. Glad to see they are going down again.

  13. #132
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    I would like to pretend these numbers aren't affected by being Easter. 36,983. But I believe too that these will rise again. I'll apologize for that pun now.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,920
    2nd - 65,952
    3rd - 65,656
    4th - 63,471
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  14. #133
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A moderately low number 56,742. Slight decline in average over 2 days.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,036
    5th - 65,554
    Last edited by JaxRed; 04-06-2021 at 03:45 AM.
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

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    Sea Ray (04-06-2021)

  16. #134
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    A moderately low number again, but higher than yesterday. 62,283. Michigan has been trying hard for weeks and today it paid off. Michigan was worst state in US. Average down ever so slightly for third day.

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"

  17. #135
    Member JaxRed's Avatar
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    Re: Monitoring the 7 Day Covid Trend Line. Looking for a peak

    Well, a pretty bad number. 75,183. Kills any momentum we had. Michigan once again the worst state. Average goes up a bit

    Seven Day Averages

    Jan
    10th - 252,398
    11th - 255,260
    18th - 212,689
    25th - 175,473

    Feb
    1st - 148,380
    8th - 112,622
    15th - 89,437
    22nd - 69,588

    Mar
    1st - 69,309
    8th - 59,152
    15th - 55,835
    22nd - 57,008
    23rd - 58,036
    24th - 58,556
    25th - 59,167
    26th - 60,743
    27th - 61,990
    28th - 62,685
    29th - 64,678
    30th - 65,074
    31st - 65,548

    April
    1st - 66,975
    2nd - 66,455
    3rd - 66,673
    4th - 66,071
    5th - 65,723
    6th - 65,582
    7th - 66,271
    Bud Selig: "I'm the worst commissioner ever"
    Rob Manfred: "Hold my beer"


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