Poll coming. Some percentages were rounded.
When the game ended last night, it was the top of the 8th. The Snakes had the bases loaded, one out, leading by one. The Reds win expecantcy is 15.5%. According to the stat site, there's a 66% chance the Snakes will score at least one run (based on historical data, this does not take into account the current pitcher or current hitters).
If the Reds are able to get out of the inning without giving up any runs, their win expectancy rises to 29%. If they give up one run, their win expectancy is about 15%.
So, if you are Bell, do you leave Sims in , and hope he puts out the fire? Or do you pull Sims so he's available for the second game. If you pull Sims, you can say who you'd put in.. but keep in mind, Garret and Antone have already been used, so not much left to pick from. If you are a fan of Dolittle, that's ok, but I am not sure if he could pitch the final 1 2/3 innings if the Reds were to come back and tie or get ahead.