JaxRed's Weekly Monday Off-Day Top Prospect List - Performance Based

[Reds Freak]

I like the idea of keeping the core of the Chattanooga team together, assuming health and current production. The Reds farm teams have done a ton of losing in recent years and I think it's beneficial for the group to experience success together. I'd bring the big three, and a few of the other interesting Lookout pieces, up to Louisville at the same time. I agree with BZ, no reason to send them individually to play for the mess that is Louisville.

[texasdave]

Updated list.

Batters were the ones punished by arbitrary number this week. If you were below 1.000 OPS you were dead to me.

Tough crowd.

Stevie Branche's stats might not look so hot at first glance, but he has struck out 14 of the 30 batters that he has faced. Branche was recently selected to the Rochester Institure of Technology's All-Decade (2010-2020 version). Kudos!

[Bourgeois Zee]

I like the idea of keeping the core of the Chattanooga team together, assuming health and current production. The Reds farm teams have done a ton of losing in recent years and I think it's beneficial for the group to experience success together. I'd bring the big three, and a few of the other interesting Lookout pieces, up to Louisville at the same time. I agree with BZ, no reason to send them individually to play for the mess that is Louisville.

it's not just Chattanooga. Dayton looks good this year. And Daytona's talent level is really high offensively. I'd want them to experience that winning culture and play off each other for at least half a season. I'd be loathe to change anything yet just because it's been so long that Red minor leaguers have had good teams.

What's interesting is that the Reds seem to have a line of 2B at worthy (so far) of call-ups. Lopez in AAA works, in part, because Rey needs AA. Callihan could also be challenged with A+ in Dayton.

Starting pitching is the same. Greene and Lodolo to AAA? Sure. That means Noah Davis and Lyon Richardson go to AA-- which is defensible. Who goes to A+ from Daytona? Proctor and Kravetz have some ridiculous numbers and are old enough to probably handle it.

[Reds Freak]

it's not just Chattanooga. Dayton looks good this year. And Daytona's talent level is really high offensively. I'd want them to experience that winning culture and play off each other for at least half a season. I'd be loathe to change anything yet just because it's been so long that Red minor leaguers have had good teams.

What's interesting is that the Reds seem to have a line of 2B at worthy (so far) of call-ups. Lopez in AAA works, in part, because Rey needs AA. Callihan could also be challenged with A+ in Dayton.

Starting pitching is the same. Greene and Lodolo to AAA? Sure. That means Noah Davis and Lyon Richardson go to AA-- which is defensible. Who goes to A+ from Daytona? Proctor and Kravetz have some ridiculous numbers and are old enough to probably handle it.

For sure. We're only two weeks into the season after not playing games for more than a year. I'd wait until mid-July or so before making any major promotions.

[HammerTime]

Glad to see Howard having some success again.

[JaxRed]

Time for an update. A couple notes: If you are promoted, only your new stats are counted. (I'm looking at you Brian Rey). If you didn't have a .900 OPS as a hitter you didn't make the cut. No hitters from AAA or High A made the cut. This makes our prospect list (like our system) very pitcher heavy.

And although I didn't establish a hard limit, I'm trying to eliminate the small sample folks. And having watched too many walks with Reds, if you did not have an outstanding ratio, you didn't make the cut. A couple people fell victim to that.

1. Mark Kolosvary - C - AA - Hangs on to top spot with .349 Avg, .417 OBP and 1.091 OPS. He's had a bad week but he's headed off for Team USA
2. Jose Garcia - SS - AA - Edged out by teammate. .323 Avg, .394 OBP, and 1.041 OPS. If only we weren't so stacked at SS at the big club.
3. Vincent Timpanelli - P - Low A - Still given up no hits. 0.00 ERA 6.1 innings, 11 K's.
4. Reiver Sanmartin - P - AA. 0.50 ERA. 23/8 K ratio in 18 innings
5. Nick Lodolo - P - AA - 0.57 ERA 24/5 ratio in 15.2 innings.
6. James Proctor - P - Low A - 0.53 ERA 27/6 ratio in 17 innings
7. Michael Byrne - P - AA - 0.00 ERA 7/1 ratio in 11 innings. Only 4 hits
8. Evan Kravetz - P - Low A - 0.79 ERA. 20/6 ratio in 11.1 innings
9. Braxton Roxby - P - High A - 0.00 ERA 14/5 ratio in 7 innings
10. Tanner Cooper - P - Low A - 0.87 ERA. 13/3 ratio in 10.1 innings. 3 hits
11. Francis Peguero - P - High A - 0.00 ERA and 6/1 ration in 6 innings. 2 hits
12. Leonardo Rivas - 3b - AA - .353 Avg, .463 OBP, .934 OPS
13. Alejo Lopez, 2b - AA - .387 Avg, .465 OBP, .932 OPS
14. Carson Speirs - P - Hi A - 1.02 ERA 21/4 ratio in 17 innings.
15. Hunter Greene - P - AA - 1.69 ERA. 33/8 ratio in 21 innings. 11 hits.
16. Pedro Garcia - P - Low A - 1.50 ERA. 18/2 ratio in 12 innings. 7 hits
17. Rickey Karcher - P Low A - 1.69 ERA 12/5 ratio in 5 innings. 0 hits
18. Tony Santillan - P - AAA - 1.86 ERA. 23/6 ratio in 19 innings.
19. Dauri Moreta - P - AA - 1.86 ERA 13/2 ratio in 9 innings.
20. Spencer Stockton - P - 1.42 ERA 10/3 ration in 12 innings. 7 hits.

A lot of very borderline calls this week.

[JaxRed]

Monday update time. This seemed like a pretty bad week down in prospect land. The most interesting development was the appearance of a new name in the prospect list. Jose Barrera. Barrera profiles much like Jose Garcia. Same age (same birthday in fact). Same size, same position. It will be interesting to compare their careers going forward. My gut reaction is that Barrera is the real deal and Garcia will just fade away.

I've removed Kolosvary till he returns and can defend his title.

1. James Proctor - P - Low A - 0.45 ERA and 30/6 K ratio. 9 hits in 20 innings.
2. Jose Garcia - SS - AA - .323 Avg, .394 OBP, and 1.041 OPS.
3. Jose Barrera - SS - AA - .300 Avg, .383 OBP, .968.
4. Nick Lodolo - P - AA - 1.01 ERA, 38/6 Ratio. 16 hits in 26 innings. Had blistering fastball last time out.
5. Leonardo Rivas - SS - AA - .349 Avg, .491 OBP, 1.003 OPS. Only about 1/2 the at bats as the regulars, but makes the best of them.
6. Evan Kravetz - P - Low A - 1.69 ERA, 26/9 K ratio, 6 hits in 16 innings.
7. Braxton Roxby - P - High A - 0.00 ERA 18/6 ratio, 3 hits in 10 innings
8. Nick Howard - P - AA - 0.00 ERA, 14/4 ratio, 3 hits in 9 innings.
9. Michael Byrne, P - AA - 0.64 ERA 12/2 ratio, 7 hits in 14 innings.
10. Rickey Karcher - P - Low A - 1.69 ERA, 12/5 ration, 0 hits in 5. Resting on laurels. On DL. Will come off list if he doesn't pitch this week.
11. Hunter Greene - P - AA - 1.91 ERA, 41/9 ratio, 18 hits in 21 innings.
12. Dauri Moreta - P - AA - 1.42 ERA, 18/2 ratio, 7 hits in 12 innings.
13. Vladimir Gutierrez - P - MLB - 2.65 ERA, 21/7 ratio, 9 hits in 17 innings in AAA, and then 1.80 ERA in 1 start with Reds
14. Phillip Diehl - P - AAA - 1.04 ERA, 11/2 ratio
15. Carson Rudd - P - Low A - 2.08 ERA, 19/2 ratio, 8 hits in 13 innings
16. Tony Santillan - P - AAA - 2.49 ERA, 32/8 ratio, 20 hits in 25 innings.
17. Alejo Lopez - 2b - AA - .356 avg, .435 OBP, 870 OPS
18. Daniel Vellojin - C - Low A - .281 avg, .467 OBP, .873 OPS
19. Vincent Timpanelli - P - Low A - 2.16 ERA, 14/7 ratio, 1 hit in 8 innings.
20. Jacques Pucheu - P - High A - 0.69 ERA, 15/7 ratio, 5 hits in 13 innings.


Hope to have more hitters in the future.

[Boston Red]

The most interesting development was the appearance of a new name in the prospect list. Jose Barrera. Barrera profiles much like Jose Garcia. Same age (same birthday in fact). Same size, same position. It will be interesting to compare their careers going forward. My gut reaction is that Barrera is the real deal and Garcia will just fade away.

Those two are such similar players that I'm shocked they have different stats.

[JaxRed]

Those two are such similar players that I'm shocked they have different stats.

I think it's because Barrera played this week, but Garcia did not.

[texasdave]

I think it's because Barrera played this week, but Garcia did not.

Would it surprise anyone here, if they both got promoted to AAA together?

[JaxRed]

This was another "back to reality" week for a lot of prospects. A note: India is no longer eligible since he is in the majors and has exceeded rookie eligibility.


1. Nick Lodolo - P - AA - 1.01 ERA, 38/6 Ratio. 16 hits in 26 innings. Didn't pitch this week due to blister. People above him faltered, His numbers stand out. AA Pitcher of Month
2. James Proctor - P - Low A - 0.76 ERA and 33/19 K ratio. 12 hits in 23 innings. One average start this week knocks him down a notch. Low A Pitcher of Month
3. Alejo Lopez - 2b - AAA - .563 avg, .682 OBP, .1432 OPS in AAA after hitting this in AA - .356 avg, .435 OBP, 870 OPS
4. Braxton Roxby - P - High A - 0.00 ERA 19/7 ratio, 3 hits in 12 innings
5. Vladimir Gutierrez - P - MLB - 2.65 ERA, 21/7 ratio, 9 hits in 17 innings in AAA, and then 2.70 ERA in 2 starts with Reds
6. Evan Kravetz - P - Low A - 1.29 ERA, 32/10 K ratio, 9 hits in 21 innings
7. Nick Howard - P - AA - 0.00 ERA, 16/4 ratio, 4 hits in 10 innings.
8. Michael Byrne, P - AA - 0.61 ERA 12/2 ratio, 8 hits in 15 innings.
9. Rickey Karcher - P - Low A - 1.23 ERA, 17/7 ratio, 1 hits in 7 innings.
10. Phillip Diehl - P - AAA - 0.82 ERA, 13/2 ratio in 11 innings
11. Franciso Urbaez - 2b - High A - .304 Avg, .391 OBP, .873 OPS
12. Jose Barrera - SS - AA - .281 Avg, .363 OBP, .868 OPS. He had rough week coming off grievance list.
13. Dauri Moreta - P - AA - 1.23 ERA, 22/3 ratio, 7 hits in 14 innings
14. Lyon Richardson - P - High A - 1.33 ERA 25/10 ratio
15. Vincent Timpanelli - P - Low A - 1.59 ERA, 20/8 ratio, 2 hits in 11 innings.
16. Francis Peguero - P - High A - 1.00 ERA, 10/2 ratio, 5 hits in 9 innings.
17. Hunter Greene - P - AA - 2.31 ERA, 51/10 ratio, 18 hits in 35 innings
18. Tony Santillan - P - AAA - 2.51 ERA, 45/12 ratio, 23 hits in 32 innings.
19. Yoel Yanqui - 1B - AA - .277 avg, .355 OPB, .823 OPS
20. Mark Kolosvary - C - AA - .349 Avg, .417 OBP and 1.091 OPS. Playing well for Team USA

[DocRed]

Seeing all those low ERA's makes it even more frustrating that the Reds are unwilling to promote some of those arms to bolster our anemic bullpen

[JaxRed]

Hunter Greene gets bumped to AAA and Lodolo still throws a blistering fastball. The luster went off a lot of pitching numbers this week.


1. Nick Lodolo - P - AA - 0.90 ERA, 45/6 Ratio. 19 hits in 30 innings. Only 3 innings this week due to blister.
2. Alejo Lopez - 2b - AAA - .375 avg, .510 OBP, .1186 OPS in AAA after hitting this in AA - .356 avg, .435 OBP, 870 OPS
3. Braxton Roxby - P - High A - 0.00 ERA 22/7 ratio, 3 hits in 13 innings
4. Vladimir Gutierrez - P - MLB - 2.74 ERA, 21/7 ratio, 9 hits in 17 innings in AAA, and then 2.78 ERA in 4 starts with Reds
5. Dauri Moreta - P - AA - 1.02 ERA, 29/4 ratio, 17 hits in 19 innings
6. Hunter Greene - P - AA - 1.98 ERA, 60/14 ratio, 27 hits in 41 innings. On to AAA.
7. Jose Barrera - SS - AA - .327 Avg, .390 OBP, .936 OPS. Was on fire this week.
8. Phillip Diehl - P - AAA - 1.69 ERA, 21/2 ratio. Not a great week though
9. Mark Kolosvary - C - AA - .317 Avg, .379 OBP and .962 OPS. Slipped a bit this week also.
10. Tony Santillan - P - AAA - 2.51 ERA, 45/12 ratio, 23 hits in 32 innings. And 1.93 ERA in1 start for Reds
11. Michael Byrne, P - AA - 0.61 ERA 12/2 ratio, 8 hits in 15 innings. (Didn't pitch this week)
12. Eddy Demurias - AA - After 0.00 ERA in Dayton, sports a 1.08 ERA in AA after 8 innings.
13. Francis Peguero - P - High A - 0.82 ERA, 10/2 ratio
14. Rickey Karcher - P - Low A - 1.13 ERA, 19/9 ratio, 1 hits in 8 innings.
15. Hayden Shenefield - P - Low A. Mr. Reddit. 0.00 ERA after 3.1 innings.
16. Nick Howard - P - AA - 1.42 ERA, 22/5 ratio, 12 innigns. Not a great week
17. Evan Kravetz - P - Low A - 1.29 ERA, 32/10 K ratio, 9 hits in 21 innings
18. James Proctor - P - Low A - 1.88 ERA and 40/14 K ratio.
19. Vincent Timpanelli - P - Low A - 1.17 ERA, 23/11 ratio, 3 hits in 11 innings.
20. Pedro Garcia - P - Low A - 1.50 ERA 19/2 ratio.

[JaxRed]

Another pretty disappointing week for prospects. Rules are rules. I don't expect this to last forever. But the rule is when you get promoted you are judged on your stats at the new level and Hunter Greene has a 9.00 ERA at AAA. So he's off the list.

And since this is stats based - A lot of AAAA players are going to make this list.


1. Nick Lodolo - P - AA - 0.90 ERA, 45/6 Ratio. 19 hits in 30 innings. On DL with blister issue
2. Alejo Lopez - 2b - AAA - .388 avg, .481 OBP, .1093 OPS in AAA after hitting this in AA - .356 avg, .435 OBP, 870 OPS
3. Vladimir Gutierrez - P - MLB - 2.74 ERA, 21/7 ratio, 9 hits in 17 innings in AAA, and then 3.88 ERA in 5 starts with Reds
4. Jose Barrera - SS - AA - .326 Avg, .388 OBP, .892 OPS.
5. Dauri Moreta - P - AA - 0.84 ERA, 33/5 ratio, 10 hits in 21 innings
6. Braxton Roxby - P - High A - 0.56 ERA 28/11 ratio, 4 hits in 16 innings. Had some control issues this week.
7. Mark Payton - OF - AAA - .304 avg, .360 OBP, .896 OPS. Just can't take it to next level
8. Cionel Perez - P - AAA - 0.90 ERA and 12/3 ratio. He isn't walking guys in AAA
9. RJ Alainiz - P - AAA - 1.83 ERA 26/6 ratio
10. Mark Kolosvary - C - AA - .292 Avg, .364 OBP and .868 OPS. Slipped a bit two weeks in a row.
11. Phillip Diehl - P - AAA - 2.37 ERA, 25/3 ratio.
12. Michael Byrne, P - AA - 1.00 ERA 14/2 ratio, 9 hits in 18 innings.
13. Nick Howard - P - AA - 1.72 ERA, 26/6 ratio,
14. Evan Kravetz - P - Low A - 1.64 ERA, 33/10 K ratio, 10 hits in 22 innings (went on DL)
15. James Proctor - P - Low A - 1.71 ERA and 43/17 K ratio.
16. Graham Ashcraft - P - High A - 2.33 ERA 55/13/ratio in 38 innings. Had dominant week
17. Eddy Demurias - AA - After 0.00 ERA in Dayton, sports a 0.84 ERA in AA after 10 innings.
18. Pedro Garcia - P - Low A - 1.50 ERA 18/2 ratio.
19. Ricky Karcher - P - Low A - 1.13 ERA 19/9 ratio in 8 innings. But on DL for 2nd time with Shoulder impingement
20. Francisco Urbaez, 2b - High A - .315 avg, .390 OBP and 828 OPS

[JaxRed]

Rules are rules. I don't expect this to last forever. But the rule is when you get promoted you are judged on your stats at the new level. Hunter Greene still has a 4.00 ERA at AAA. So he's still off the list. But probably not for long

And since this is stats based - A lot of AAAA players are going to make this list.

1. Alejo Lopez - 2b/3b - MLB - 1.000 !!! AAA - .358 avg, .436 OBP, .963 OPS in AAA after hitting this in AA - .356 avg, .435 OBP, 870 OPS
2. Nick Lodolo - P - AA - 0.90 ERA, 45/6 Ratio. 19 hits in 30 innings. On DL with blister issue
3. Tony Santillan P - MLB - 3.29 ERA in majors and 2.51 ERA in AAA with 45/12 K/BB ratio.
4. Vladimir Gutierrez - P - MLB - 2.65 ERA, 21/7 ratio, 9 hits in 17 innings in AAA, and then 3.97 ERA in 6 starts with Reds
5. Mark Kolosvary - C - AA - .287 Avg, .386 OBP and .903 OPS. 2 homers in last 7 days
6. Jose Barrera - SS - AA - .300 Avg, .367 OBP, .848 OPS. Not a great week.
5. Dauri Moreta - P - AA - 1.14 ERA, 34/5 ratio, 13 hits in 23 innings
6. Graham Ashcraft - P - AA - 0.00 ERA Complete game shutout 2 hits 8 K's 0 walks. High A - 2.33 ERA 55/13/ratio in 38 innings. Had dominant week
7. Braxton Roxby - P - High A - 1.50 ERA 31/11 ratio, 8 hits in 18 innings.
8. James Proctor - P - Low A - 1.43 ERA and 51/17 K ratio.
9. Mark Payton - OF - AAA - .303 avg, .354 OBP, .867 OPS. Just can't take it to next level
10. Cionel Perez - P - MLB - AAA - 0.90 ERA and 12/3 ratio. He isn't walking guys in AAA. And one inning of 0.00 ERA this week in majors
11. RJ Alainiz - P - AAA - 1.66 ERA 28/6 ratio
12. Phillip Diehl - P - AAA - 2.95 ERA, 27/4 ratio.
14. Evan Kravetz - P - Low A - 1.64 ERA, 33/10 K ratio, 10 hits in 22 innings (went on DL)
15. Nick Howard - P - AA - 2.04 ERA, 26/6 ratio,
16. Michael Byrne, P - AA - 2.25 ERA 16/2 ratio,
18. Eddy Demurias - AA - After 0.00 ERA in Dayton, sports a 1.42 ERA in AA.
19. Noah Davis - P - High A - 2.91 ERA 27 hits in 46 innings.
20. Ricky Karcher - P - Low A - 1.13 ERA 19/9 ratio in 8 innings. But on DL for 2nd time with Shoulder impingement