This 100%. Unlike the NBA or NFL, it's not about tanking for a top draft pick. Rather, it's about reallocating payroll and playing time to maximize the chances of developing the next core and having the financial flexibility to time trades/FA as soon as that core is ascending.
However, like other leagues, there's a growing appreciation of the downsides of stripping things down too far including degradation of culture (habits of mind, training, etc.) due to loss of focus & leadership and creating a negative reputation about the team's commitment to winning that makes it more difficult to acquire top talent when the time is right.
One thing that I think gets under-appreciated in this discussion is the degree to which there is uncertainty about player potential across the talent spectrum. Yes, cutting down can give you more shots at the players most likely to be the next absolute studs. But trying to stay competitive (in the right way) can also give you shots at that. We've seen a good number of "post-hype" players breakout fairly well into their careers: Castellanos, JD Martinez, Justin Turner, DJ Lemahieu, Brandon Woodruff, Nate Eovaldi, Kevin Gausman (still mad we let him go), Wade Miley, Charlie Morton, etc. While relying on those breakouts when you're going for it is not a strategy (looking at you Reds front office), there's more variance and thus more potential value in those types of players than the standard rebuild logic allows for. Furthermore, if a prospect or two hits early, it's nice to have a decent base already in place so you can hit the ground running with them rather than either wasting their cheapest years or scrambling to get competency everywhere else.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
*BaseClogger* (11-05-2021)
FWIW the Reds did not have a great need for outfielders at the deadline. Winker was not yet hurt. RP was the need.
“The guys we've had for the most part have been serviceable at this level.”
The Braves did not employ a strategy, they hit a straight flush in five card draw after drawing three cards. Good for them, but not sure if there's a lesson there.
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
Griffey012 (11-05-2021),M2 (11-05-2021),wlf WV (11-05-2021)
Only a salary cap and floor, or relegation will end tanking.
"Lemonade requires a significant amount of sugar. Otherwise, you've just made lemon juice."
onehand (11-05-2021)
RedTeamGo! (11-05-2021),wlf WV (11-05-2021)
doing nothing is doing something, hard to say when one is better than the other. The Braves reap the benefits of a low odds trifecta, so I guess we could say "I drew a deuce hitting on 19 because I wanted to do something!" by this reasoning. I'm probably just jealous because my teams never pull off such lucky breaks.
"Rounding 3rd and heading for home, good night everybody"
M2 (11-05-2021)
Revering4Blue (11-05-2021),traderumor (11-05-2021),WrongVerb (11-05-2021)
You no longer get much return for trading established valued players, teams just don’t let their minor-league stars go as they did a few years ago. You free money and hope, and hope doesn’t win competition. It’s about who’s pays the money, with very rare outliers .
Last edited by wlf WV; 11-05-2021 at 04:50 PM.
May the Lord bless
Reds plan to tank for the next 5 years.. Who cares what the fans want is thier motto!!
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