So today:
48-74 .393 winning percentage.
40 games left to play.
If the Reds go 14-26 in the rest of their games (.350 winning percentage), they hit 100 losses.
Still kind of a tossup, in my opinion, although with the young starters getting shut down, it's more likely.
Schedule is below
I am going to say we have 18 tough games left (Phillies, Cards, Brewers, Boston). The rest of the games (22) are against teams that are more or less equal to the Reds
So let's say we go .500 against the easy teams (11-11)
We only have to go at least 4-14 against the tough teams then to avoid 100 losses.
That's why I still think 100 losses is not a given.
1 game vs phillies
3 vs Nats
3 vs Cards
4 vs Rockies
3 Cubs
3 Brewers
3 Pirates
5 vs Cardinals
2 vs Boston
4 Brewers
3 Pirates
6 Cubs