Pick #1, 13.2% chance
Pick #2, 13.1% chance
Pick #3, 12.9% chance
Pick #4, 12.4% chance
Pick #5, 11.7% chance
Pick #6, 10.6% chance
Pick #7, 15.7% chance
Pick #8, 9.0% chance
Pick #9, 1.2% chance
Pick #10, <1.0% chance
Better than tanking your way to it.
All my posts are my opinion - just like yours are. If I forget to state it and you're too dense to see the obvious, look here!
mth123 (10-05-2022)
How often do teams lose 100 games in the 162-game era?
continue reading:
The Cincinnati Reds joined the 100 Club for the first time in 40 years in emphatic fashion, falling 15-2 to the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday in the final game of the 2022 season.
It goes down as the second 100-loss season for the Reds, who finished 62-100, and their first since a 61-101 season in 1982.
How often do teams lose 100 games in the 162-game era?
Since 1961 when the American League adopted the expanded schedule and 1962 when the National League followed suit, six teams never lost 100 games:
The Philadelphia Phillies; St. Louis Cardinals; Los Angeles Dodgers; Colorado Rockies; Los Angeles Angels; and New York Yankees.
The other 24 teams have combined for 85 100-loss seasons or an average of about 1.4 per year, though there have been more in recent years.
There were four 100-loss teams this season, four last season, four in 2019 and three in 2018.
Here’s a glance at who leads the list of most 100-loss seasons since 1961:
Detroit Tigers (6): 1975 (57-102); 1989 (59-103); 1996 (53-109); 2002 (55-106); 2003 (43-119); and 2019 (47-114).
Kansas City Royals (6): 2002 (62-100); 2004 (58-104); 2005 (56-106); 2006 (62-100); 2018 (58-104); and 2019 (59-103).
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https://www.daytondailynews.com/spor...H533VA6EEMRXQ/
Last edited by Ron Madden; 10-06-2022 at 12:32 AM.
I'd still go for the reverse draft.
Non-playoff teams pick starting first from the best record to the worse record. And then the playoff teams pick.
Gives some nice incentive to take a shot every year, and no excuses for the tankers (some probably still will tank, showing how little they care).
Players should be happy, as it should increase the number of suiters who want decent players.
mth123 (10-06-2022),Redhook (10-06-2022),Ron Madden (10-06-2022)
I see now that MLB is planning on holding the lottery during this years Winter Meetings in San Diego.
https://www.mlb.com/reds/news/2023-m...draft-coverage
For the first time, the order of the top six Draft picks will be determined by lottery instead of simply being the reverse order of the previous year’s standings, with the lottery expected to take place at the Winter Meetings in San Diego in early December.
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Last edited by Ron Madden; 10-06-2022 at 07:38 AM.
I like the idea, and have even advocated for it myself. But if they insist on a lottery, the odds should be based on number of wins rather than number of losses. You could also go by record from the past three seasons, instead of just the most recent season. That would make tanking even less lucrative.
Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity, in all this vastness, there is no hint that help will come from elsewhere to save us from ourselves. -- Carl Sagan (Pale Blue Dot)
All my posts are my opinion - just like yours are. If I forget to state it and you're too dense to see the obvious, look here!
CaiGuy (10-06-2022)
Ron Madden (10-06-2022)
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