The way they seed has changed. Those #4s you mentioned would be #5s this year because the weakest P4 conference champ is locked into the #4 seed now.Originally Posted by Sea Ray
The way they seed has changed. Those #4s you mentioned would be #5s this year because the weakest P4 conference champ is locked into the #4 seed now.
Under this year's system, Alabama still would have been the #4 seed as SEC champs. But you're right that you might come across a BYU or Louisville as a #4 seed some years with the current setup.
By what measure do they judge a team to be "the weakest"? Let's use last year as an example. Where would Alabama have been seeded?
I suppose that's possible but more likely you'll get Clemson who has top 5 talent as judged by the 247 composite
As it stands today, top four seeds would be:
1) Texas
2) Ohio State
3) Clemson or Miami
4) Iowa State or BYU (or Texas Tech)
There's also a chance Boise sneaks into the #4 slot ahead of the Big XII champs (or the ACC champ if it's someone other than Clemson or Miami).
Also, if we end up with some weak #3/#4 seeds, I wouldn't be surprised if they blow the seeding concept up and just seed the teams 1-12 regardless of conference championship status starting next year.
Last edited by Boston Red; 10-09-2024 at 11:41 AM.
That's more the result of merging the PAC12 and Big Ten (and the SEC bringing in Texas and OK) than any change in how they seed
The whole thing is a change since it's the first year of the new system.
Also, just took a look at Iowa State's schedule, and they could easily get to 10-0 before we find out if they're actually any good. They are at Utah and vs. Kansas State their last two (plus presumably the conference championship game if they even split those two).
Last edited by Boston Red; 10-09-2024 at 11:47 AM.
Edit: they would've stayed #4, forgot about Texas still being in the Big 12. It would've worked out where the top 11 teams in the final CFP rankings that last year would've slotted in those same 11 spots, with Liberty as the #12 seed.
The 2022 Ohio State scenario you mentioned would better illustrate things. They got into the playoff as the #4 despite not being conference champs. Same with TCU at #3. Under the new system Ohio State would be at #6 and TCU would've been #5. It would've been #1 Georgia, #2 Michigan, #3 Clemson (even though they were #7 in the CFP rankings because they won the ACC title) and #4 Utah (#8 in the rankings but Pac-12 champs). Alabama would've slid from #5 to #7, Tennessee would've dropped from #6 to #8, #9-11 would stay the same (Kansas St., USC, Penn St.) and #16 Tulane would get the #12 seed as best Group of 5 champ.
Last edited by Danny Serafini; 10-09-2024 at 01:15 PM.
The #4 seed will be a the weakest conference champ. Its not the #4 overall team. Using the current AP Poll, that #4 seed would be ISU who is currently ranked outside of the top 10, the next most likely team right now is BYU who is ranked 14th. Using he current AP Poll, the #1 overall seed would potentially face the winner of Alabama vs Tennessee. The 5 seed as it stand now would be Oregon who would get maybe Boise St, then get ISU in the 2nd round.
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https://www.flotrack.org/articles/12...intent-program
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