80 wins - 730 RS.
80 wins - 730 RS.
82 wins
The losing streak stops at 9.
"Boys, I'm one of those umpires that misses 'em every once in a while so if it's close, you'd better hit it." Cal Hubbard
88
"I know a lot about the law and various other lawyerings."
Hitters who avoid outs are the funnest.
So the LF offense is worse this year, but the D is better. And its the same two guys. And Rolen will be better offensively than EE et al, even though Rolen was a big part of et al. In fact he played in only 4 fewer games than EE. It should have read Rosales et al as Rosales led the reds in games played at 3B last year.
just sayin'.
Dubito Ergo Cogito Ergo Sum.
84 wins. +30 runs in the RS/RA columns.
75 wins
82-80.
The overall concensus seems to be in the mid to high 80s. I agree with this. there is no doubt that on paper this team is the most talented we have had in a while. we also get to play a lot of games against our weak NL central foes. I am going to guess 86-76. if i had to take an over/under on 86 i would take the over. the Reds do have a lot of young guys with All Star potential. if several of them bust out we could slip into the playoffs.
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I want to make sure that I understand this correctly.
When you say 30+ runs are you saying that the Reds will score 30 more runs and allow 30 more runs than they did last year. 2009 RS 673 +30 = 703 RS 2010 and 2009 RA 723 +30 = 753 RA
Is that what you mean or did I misunderstand?
Dickerson has had an entire season and off-season to improve at a position he only had passing playing time at his entire minor league career. He struggled early last season; I don't expect him to struggle again early this season. Gomes, while still a below average player, has lost weight and should be able to range further into the gaps and make plays. Add to that Stubbs' remarkable range in CF (meaning the LFers can concentrate and shade a step or two toward the line, thereby cutting doubles to singles, or, even better, outs) and it all adds up to better D, despite the fact that the same players are responsible for the majority of the playing time.
EdE was the erstwhile starter last season and his struggles were a HUGE part of the 3B black hole offensively. That's why he goes first. He was being counted on and failed miserably. Rosales' numbers certainly did nothing to help the Reds either. Either way, it's a semantic argument. Suffice it to say, Rolen for an entire season should mean a fairly large uptick in production from 09.
Just sayin'.
I think a more fun game would be predicting what number each poster would predict. To be honest, this year, I would be doing much worse than I expected. Makes this thread even more interesting.
"Imagination is more important than knowledge." -- Albert Einstein
I'm not overly optimistic about this team but I have a hard time believing they'll do WORSE than last ear.
School's out. What did you expect?
I agree with that. The problem is assessing how bad exactly was that 2009 team. Because although the Reds came up with 78 wins, they were 27-13 over the last 40, many of which were meaningless for both sides.
And how different was that team of the last quarter of the season (starring Stubbs and Bailey) from the 2010 team?
Can't wait to start the real games.
"A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."
http://dalmady.blogspot.com
Not to mention a whole ton of other variables. How different are the teams we are playing this season than last? We play an uneven schedule inside the division so do we play the Cubs more and the Pirates less this year (3 game difference)? And so on.
2009
13-5 vs. Pittsburgh (18 games)
12-4 vs. Houston (16 games)
8-8 vs. St. Louis (16 games)
8-7 vs. Milwaukee (15 games)
5-10 vs Chicago (15 games)
46-34 vs. NL Central 12 games over .500
For the rest of the breakdown....
LINK
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--Woody Hayes
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