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Thread: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

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  1. #1
    Score Early, Score Often gonelong's Avatar
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    2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    Welcome to Gonelong's 10th annual Reds Win prediction thread. The history of the prediction threads are at the end of this post. For only the 2nd time in 9 seasons, tORG understimated the Reds win total, and did so by a mind-numbing 7.7 Wins.

    Hopefully the Sundeck will once again organize a thread and take up this friendly challenge from the ORG. Last year tORG got "SunDecked" in this challenge so congratulations is owed to all the SunDeck members who participated. tORG holds a slim 2-1 advantage in the head-to-head challenge with the SunDeck looking to even the score this season.


    As always, the prediction thread request is simple.

    1. Give a number of Wins you project for the Reds 2011 season.
    2. Make the prediction as honestly as you can. It's a prediction, not a hope. (Please, no 162-0 "predictions")
    3. Feel free to wait for opening day to make your prediction.

    When I return from opening day I'll compute the average guestimate for tORG. (One again, my brother was able to secure a ticket for me for the 4th year in a row. I have only missed one opening day since attending my first in 1996. Thanks bro!) In fact, I have a True Value Reds opening Day baseball from 1997 in my desk at work. Anybody else still have that one?

    I cannot remember entering a reds season with such anticipation. My son is 7 this year and is very interested thanks to last season's showing. I am hearing much more chatter around the neighborhood and at work as well. I am hoping the Reds get out of the gate on solid footing so we can enjoy a season similar to last years.

    My prediction for the Reds is that they will win 94 games this season.

    Go Reds!

    GL

    Code:
    Old Red Guard
    YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
    -- --   ----  ---- -----
    10 83.3,  91,  92 (- 7.7)
    09 79.0,  78,  76 (+ 1.0)
    08 81.6,  74,  72 (+ 7.6)
    07 81.4,  72,  75 (+ 9.2)
    06 76.7,  80,  76 (-  3.3)
    05 84.7,  73,  75 (+ 11.7)
    04 76.8,  76,  67 (+  0.8)
    03 87.9,  69,  63 (+ 18.9)
    02 79.7,  75,  75 (+  4.7)       
     
    Sundeck
    YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
    -- --   ----  ---- -----
    10 84.6,  91,  92 (- 6.4)
    09 82.7,  78,  76 (+ 4.7)
    08 85.1,  74,  72 (+ 11.1)

  2. #2
    Member kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    91 Wins for the Reds

    Would be a bit higher but I've gotten terribly scared of the injury bug this past week so I hedged a little.

  3. #3
    he/him *BaseClogger*'s Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    87-75

  4. #4
    Waitin til next year bucksfan2's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    88 Wins.

  5. #5
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    94 wins
    Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/ShaneHorning

  6. #6
    Member Tommyjohn25's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    95 wins. I say they start a bit slow in April then catch fire and ride the wave to another Central title!
    Benzinger backing and calling! And the 1990 world championship series belongs to the Cincinnati Reds!

  7. #7
    Member OesterPoster's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    I'll be the pessimistic one thus far.

    86 wins

  8. #8
    Danger is my business! oneupper's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    81-81.

    I'm worried about the rotation. (I'm always worried).
    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."

    http://dalmady.blogspot.com

  9. #9
    Member Homer Bailey's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    89 wins.

  10. #10
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    89 wins. I don't believe we really improved but at the same time Cards loss of Wainright and the Brewers picking up Greinke I think keeps us at about the same level record wise.
    Quote Originally Posted by teamselig
    The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change, the realist adjusts the sails.

    William Arthur Ward


  11. #11
    Titanic Struggles Caveat Emperor's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    82 wins.

    I'd feel a lot better about this team if Edinson Volquez could throw strikes and if Johnny Cueto wasn't seemingly destined to miss at least 1 month of the season.

    I also think they're going to miss Arthur Rhodes a lot more than people realize.
    Cincinnati Reds: Farm System Champions 2022

  12. #12
    nothing more than a fan Always Red's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    85

    I think the pitching will be average.
    sorry we're boring

  13. #13
    Member Redsfan320's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    92 wins

    CE, I'm curious about your comment about missing Rhodes. You think Chap won't be able to adequately fill that role this year?

    320
    I'd rather listen to Kelch read the phone book than suffer through Thom Brennaman's attempt to make every instance on the field the most important event since the discovery of manned space flight. -westofyou

  14. #14
    RZ Chamber of Commerce Unassisted's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    90 wins.

  15. #15
    Cheekily Non-Conformist CarolinaRedleg's Avatar
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    Re: 2011 - Gonelong's 10th annual Season Ws prediction thread .

    92 wins, repeat NLC champs.
    Hope isn't a strategy


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