Welcome to Gonelong's 10th annual Reds Win prediction thread. The history of the prediction threads are at the end of this post. For only the 2nd time in 9 seasons, tORG understimated the Reds win total, and did so by a mind-numbing 7.7 Wins.

Hopefully the Sundeck will once again organize a thread and take up this friendly challenge from the ORG. Last year tORG got "SunDecked" in this challenge so congratulations is owed to all the SunDeck members who participated. tORG holds a slim 2-1 advantage in the head-to-head challenge with the SunDeck looking to even the score this season.


As always, the prediction thread request is simple.

1. Give a number of Wins you project for the Reds 2011 season.
2. Make the prediction as honestly as you can. It's a prediction, not a hope. (Please, no 162-0 "predictions")
3. Feel free to wait for opening day to make your prediction.

When I return from opening day I'll compute the average guestimate for tORG. (One again, my brother was able to secure a ticket for me for the 4th year in a row. I have only missed one opening day since attending my first in 1996. Thanks bro!) In fact, I have a True Value Reds opening Day baseball from 1997 in my desk at work. Anybody else still have that one?

I cannot remember entering a reds season with such anticipation. My son is 7 this year and is very interested thanks to last season's showing. I am hearing much more chatter around the neighborhood and at work as well. I am hoping the Reds get out of the gate on solid footing so we can enjoy a season similar to last years.

My prediction for the Reds is that they will win 94 games this season.

Go Reds!

GL

Code:
Old Red Guard
YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
10 83.3,  91,  92 (- 7.7)
09 79.0,  78,  76 (+ 1.0)
08 81.6,  74,  72 (+ 7.6)
07 81.4,  72,  75 (+ 9.2)
06 76.7,  80,  76 (-  3.3)
05 84.7,  73,  75 (+ 11.7)
04 76.8,  76,  67 (+  0.8)
03 87.9,  69,  63 (+ 18.9)
02 79.7,  75,  75 (+  4.7)       
 
Sundeck
YR RZ   Act   Ptgh Delta
-- --   ----  ---- -----
10 84.6,  91,  92 (- 6.4)
09 82.7,  78,  76 (+ 4.7)
08 85.1,  74,  72 (+ 11.1)