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Thread: Royals interested in Bruce?

  1. #316
    5.3 Posts Abv Replacement BluegrassRedleg's Avatar
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Quote Originally Posted by Tom Servo View Post
    Some of this is where advanced metrics lose me (xBACON?). Specifically this:



    Here's a HR we are told Bruce should be dinged on because it "had less than 1% chance of clearing the fences", from 5/5/16:



    Come on.
    Right. Dudes need to put down their iPads or step away from the PC for a while and actually watch baseball.
    Rounding third and heading for home...

  2. #317
    I wear Elly colored glass WrongVerb's Avatar
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    I don't mind signing players who are approaching or in their 30s to extensions. My adage is that you don't pay a player in his 30s for the production he gave in his 20s.
    Empathy is about standing in someone else's shoes, feeling with his or her heart, seeing with his or her eyes. Not only is empathy hard to outsource and automate, but it makes the world a better place.

    -- Daniel H. Pink

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  4. #318
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    http://chicago.cbslocal.com/2016/06/...ay-bruce-next/
    When the teams discussed a deal in spring training, the Reds were adamant about the White Sox taking at least $11 million of the $12.5 million due on Bruce’s contract. The chances of Chicago giving up shortstop Tim Anderson or right-hander Carson Fulmer, their top prospects, are close to zero this season.
    Hoping to change my username to 75769026

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    REDREAD (06-08-2016)

  6. #319
    Probably not Patrick Bateman's Avatar
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Sorta disappointing that they wouldn't be looking to eat more salary to get a better prospect. Just another avenue to invest in the farm.

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    Edd Roush (06-08-2016)

  8. #320
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Bateman View Post
    Sorta disappointing that they wouldn't be looking to eat more salary to get a better prospect. Just another avenue to invest in the farm.
    Pretty sure there was a report stating the Reds were gonna eat a whole bunch of his salary in the trade to the Jays that fell through.
    Quote Originally Posted by Scooter View Post
    A little bit off topic, but do you guys think that Jesse Winker profiles more like Pete Rose or is he just the next Hal Morris??

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    REDREAD (06-08-2016)

  10. #321
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    I keep reading Jay Bruce at 29 has no place on the Reds in 2018 but no one brings up Adam Duvall will turn 28 later this season. Does Duvall who has had 1 good month so far fit into 2018 plans just curious.

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    _Sir_Charles_ (06-08-2016)

  12. #322
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Quote Originally Posted by indy_dave00 View Post
    I keep reading Jay Bruce at 29 has no place on the Reds in 2018 but no one brings up Adam Duvall will turn 28 later this season. Does Duvall who has had 1 good month so far fit into 2018 plans just curious.
    Has nothing to do with age and everything to do with contract. Adam Duvall is cheaply cost controlled for the foreseeable future. Bruce is a free agent after next year.
    Quote Originally Posted by Scooter View Post
    A little bit off topic, but do you guys think that Jesse Winker profiles more like Pete Rose or is he just the next Hal Morris??

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    REDREAD (06-08-2016),thatcoolguy_22 (06-09-2016),Wonderful Monds (06-08-2016)

  14. #323
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    My question is really is Adam Duvall just in a hot streak, while the book on him is still being written? Or at 27 1/2 and finally getting a chance the real thing? I'm surprised every time he gets a fastball, he still seems to struggle against off speed pitching and most pitches that have break to them, just call me still skeptical he can continue to hit as he has, hopefully he proves me wrong.

  15. #324
    Member corkedbat's Avatar
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Quote Originally Posted by indy_dave00 View Post
    I keep reading Jay Bruce at 29 has no place on the Reds in 2018 but no one brings up Adam Duvall will turn 28 later this season. Does Duvall who has had 1 good month so far fit into 2018 plans just curious.
    Pretty Simple. Bruce will not be 29 in 2018, he'll be 31 with deteriorating skills (see defense), some recent history of injury, consistently inconsistent and the there's the nettling fact that he'll cost you $10-12m/yr. (IF YOU'RE LUCKY). Yes, Duvall will be 30, but he won't be Arb-eligible until 2019 or FA-eligible until 2022. If all of this is a mirage, he'll be cheap enough for bench-duty or even to jettison if need be.

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    Chuckie (06-08-2016)

  17. #325
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Quote Originally Posted by indy_dave00 View Post
    My question is really is Adam Duvall just in a hot streak, while the book on him is still being written? Or at 27 1/2 and finally getting a chance the real thing? I'm surprised every time he gets a fastball, he still seems to struggle against off speed pitching and most pitches that have break to them, just call me still skeptical he can continue to hit as he has, hopefully he proves me wrong.
    If Duvall is not the real deal, then you find another answer that is not an aging, expensive Jay Bruce. Possibly in the first couple of rounds of this year's draft.

  18. #326
    I wear Elly colored glass WrongVerb's Avatar
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    My guess is Duvall is having his age 27 season this year.
    Empathy is about standing in someone else's shoes, feeling with his or her heart, seeing with his or her eyes. Not only is empathy hard to outsource and automate, but it makes the world a better place.

    -- Daniel H. Pink

  19. #327
    Member Rojo Rijo's Avatar
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    If they would eat the remainder of his contract and send back a Peter/Wheeler package I'd take it. Would much rather have Clark than Wheeler but I don't see the Sox parting with him

  20. #328
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Quote Originally Posted by indy_dave00 View Post
    I keep reading Jay Bruce at 29 has no place on the Reds in 2018 but no one brings up Adam Duvall will turn 28 later this season. Does Duvall who has had 1 good month so far fit into 2018 plans just curious.
    Duvall didn't have a good month, he had an incredible one. And has been good thus far in June. (Wasn't bad in April either.)

    To answer your question, yes, Duvall absolutely fits in the plans in 2018. His floor is a very good bench player, something the Reds do a horrible job of finding. His ceiling is that of an everyday LF that can mash 30-35 HRs per year. Oh, and he comes very cheap, at least for the next couple years. And then he's still under team control for 3 years (relatively cheap) after that). He's been the second-biggest highlight of the rebuilding process thus far, right behind Cody Reed who has assented to one of the top 25 prospects in all of baseball.

  21. #329
    I wear Elly colored glass WrongVerb's Avatar
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Royals are offering Yordano Ventura in trades:

    Last night’s plunking of Manny Machado was the latest in a line of questionable actions from Royals righty Yordano Ventura, and Jeff Passan of Yahoo Sports writes that his attitude is wearing thin on the Kansas City organization. Indeed, per the report, executives from at least two other teams say that the Royals have offered to deal Ventura away within the last month.

    Expectations had been that the now-25-year-old with the high-octane fastball would be entrenched in the K.C. staff for years to come. After all, the club inked him to a five-year, $23MM extension before the start of the 2015 season. That deal also includes two option years valued at $12MM apiece.
    Bruce for Ventura?
    Empathy is about standing in someone else's shoes, feeling with his or her heart, seeing with his or her eyes. Not only is empathy hard to outsource and automate, but it makes the world a better place.

    -- Daniel H. Pink

  22. #330
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    Re: Royals interested in Bruce?

    Quote Originally Posted by corkedbat View Post
    His whole career points to regression.
    Doesn't everybody's?

    For me, this is the deciding factor...will a trade of Bruce improve the Reds? This year or in the near future? To me, the answer is no or "maybe". The money isn't really an issue to be honest. The team payroll is quite low and there aren't any raises of any significance coming any time soon. Draft/trade for some young hitters and give them time to develop. In the meantime, Jay fills the void quite nice.

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