Cyclone792 (09-24-2020),Revering4Blue (09-25-2020)
Cards lead Brewers 3-1. Fourth inning.
I’m rooting for them both to lose. But since that’s impossible, it’s best for Reds to root for Cards.
If Reds can close out the Brewers and Phils for the wild card, Reds are in the playoffs.
Reds’ magic number to close out the Brew is 3. Reds’ magic number to beat out the Phils as WC is 2.
This isn’t air tight because Phils could finish second in East, but still seems most likely and easiest path to playoffs for Reds.
Last edited by Kc61; 09-24-2020 at 10:14 PM.
Fangraphs has us at 88.5 percent after giants loss, which would include remaining strength of schedule.
Very cool considering how low we were 2 weeks ago.
Just gotta taaaaaap it in.
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AlaskaReds (09-25-2020),Bourgeois Zee (09-25-2020),Edd Roush (09-24-2020),NebraskaRed (09-24-2020),Ron Madden (09-24-2020),SirFelixCat (09-24-2020),Stray (09-24-2020)
*BaseClogger* (09-25-2020),Bourgeois Zee (09-25-2020),M2 (09-24-2020)
“The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.”― Marcus Aurelius
Here’s the difficulty of the second Central spot.
If Reds lose 2 to Twins, they’ll have 30 losses.
Cards now only have 26 losses.
Cards would need 5 more losses this season for Reds to catch them and get second spot. (Cards with tiebreaker.)
Possible, sure, and maybe Reds do better against Twins - but the wild card route is more likely.
Bourgeois Zee (09-25-2020)
If it impacts who makes playoffs, Cards will play next Monday two makeup games in Detroit. Then everybody would finish with 60 games played.
If it only impacts seeding, then Cards won’t play those extra games. That’s your “winning percentage” scenario.
In any event, as the Fangraphs and other playoff odds show, the chances are greater that Reds make the playoffs as a wild card.
Last edited by Kc61; 09-24-2020 at 10:44 PM.
If a team makes it to the 2nd round of the playoffs, how many starters will be needed in the rotation? I assume at least 4 (if they play all 5 games) since there are no days off during the 2nd round?
“The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.”― Marcus Aurelius
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