Dick Williams Needs To Resign

[foster15]

I mean, it’s a bullpen with the sane core as last year, with a few semi interesting new faces (sims, strop, Jones).

It was league average last year.
It’s always missed the big hammer at the end.
I don’t expect it to be a strength.

But it’s not going to handicap is like this all year.


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Bullpens don't usually work that way. They usually regress if you don't make major changes. And actually, the easiest way to improve a team is to improve the bullpen at the top. Add a better closer, everybody moves down a slot in their roles and you've improved upon each role. But this team's pen regressed last season, mainly due to the closer, and it normally means it will continue to regress without changes.

As for Williams and other posters who bring up his first 4 seasons here, I throw those away. This is the first year he was handed money to work with. So comparing to other seasons when anyone without red-colored glasses on knew they were not going to be good, is apples and oranges. That said, this year doesn't look good and it's not because of changes he made to the offense(it will come around if season continues) it's lack of change to the bullpen.

[Griffey012]

Lol. Why in the world would Dick Williams resign. The thread would still be dumb, but a lot less dumb if it at least said “be fired”.

[Kc61]

I mean, it’s a bullpen with the sane core as last year, with a few semi interesting new faces (sims, strop, Jones).

It was league average last year.
It’s always missed the big hammer at the end.
I don’t expect it to be a strength.

But it’s not going to handicap is like this all year.


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I don’t buy this at all. If you don’t have the lock down late inning relievers, your pen is a liability. Especially for a contender. The Reds didn’t have enough of those types last year, and don’t have them now.

[RedTeamGo!]

Lol. Why in the world would Dick Williams resign. The thread would still be dumb, but a lot less dumb if it at least said “be fired”.

Because he won’t be fired because of nepotism.

[Griffey012]

Because he won’t be fired because of nepotism.

Okay. That doesn’t answer why in the world would he resign?

[Falls City Beer]

I mean, it’s a bullpen with the sane core as last year, with a few semi interesting new faces (sims, strop, Jones).

It was league average last year.
It’s always missed the big hammer at the end.
I don’t expect it to be a strength.

But it’s not going to handicap is like this all year.


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Why do you believe that it won’t handicap us this year?

[Patrick Bateman]

Why do you believe that it won’t handicap us this year?

Just meaning, not to this degree.


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[Patrick Bateman]

I don’t buy this at all. If you don’t have the lock down late inning relievers, your pen is a liability. Especially for a contender. The Reds didn’t have enough of those types last year, and don’t have them now.

I mean, it was league average last year without the top dogs. Im just saying it doesn’t necessarily need to be excellent. It just needs to avoid being a dumpster fire. I think there is enough in the tank for that to happen.


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[Kc61]

I mean, it was league average last year without the top dogs. Im just saying it doesn’t necessarily need to be excellent. It just needs to avoid being a dumpster fire. I think there is enough in the tank for that to happen.


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Looking at the metrics, in many respects pen was league average last year. But the closer, who saved 34 games, was 3-12. Most losses of any MLB reliever. Pen lost 33 games, only the Marlins lost more in the NL. 27-33 overall. Relief losses are essentially winnable games; opponent takes the lead against the pen.

Offense was to blame too, but the pen shared in the responsibility for those losses, many in close games. Particularly the back end of the pen.

It could turn around. The Nats pen was bad last year (also 27-33) and got them through the playoffs. But it’s a short season so there isn’t much time.

[RedsManRick]

I don't know if it's my age, having two exhausting kids, or COVID fatigue, but I just cannot summon the energy to engage in these sorts of small sample size debates anymore. The offense has been good. The bullpen has been bad. A team expected to be marginally above .500 has a -1 run differential after 7 games along with 1 "extra" loss above what you'd expect given that differential.

Therefore, lets fire the manager. I know I used to be the one posting 17 times on these threads. And I know I can just go away and let everybody have their fun. But, man... Nothing that happens in 7 games is proof of anything. It's barely even evidence. Sometimes players play better than the play other times. Normal, to-be-expected variance trumps almost everything at this point.

Don't y'all have something better to do than navel gaze to this degree?

[Falls City Beer]

I don't know if it's my age, having two exhausting kids, or COVID fatigue, but I just cannot summon the energy to engage in these sorts of small sample size debates anymore. The offense has been good. The bullpen has been bad. A team expected to be marginally above .500 has a -1 run differential after 7 games along with 1 "extra" loss above what you'd expect given that differential.

Therefore, lets fire the manager. I know I used to be the one posting 17 times on these threads. And I know I can just go away and let everybody have their fun. But, man... Nothing that happens in 7 games is proof of anything. It's barely even evidence. Sometimes players play better than the play other times. Normal, to-be-expected variance trumps almost everything at this point.

Don't y'all have something better to do than navel gaze to this degree?

If 7 games is less than meaningless, then why have a 60 game season? I agree it’s obviously a small sample but then so is the entire season.

[757690]

I don't know if it's my age, having two exhausting kids, or COVID fatigue, but I just cannot summon the energy to engage in these sorts of small sample size debates anymore. The offense has been good. The bullpen has been bad. A team expected to be marginally above .500 has a -1 run differential after 7 games along with 1 "extra" loss above what you'd expect given that differential.

Therefore, lets fire the manager. I know I used to be the one posting 17 times on these threads. And I know I can just go away and let everybody have their fun. But, man... Nothing that happens in 7 games is proof of anything. It's barely even evidence. Sometimes players play better than the play other times. Normal, to-be-expected variance trumps almost everything at this point.

Don't y'all have something better to do than navel gaze to this degree?

To be fair to RTG, he’s made it clear that he is not basing this on the first seven games of the season, he’s basing it on the last five seasons.

[westofyou]

I don't know if it's my age, having two exhausting kids, or COVID fatigue, but I just cannot summon the energy to engage in these sorts of small sample size debates anymore. The offense has been good. The bullpen has been bad. A team expected to be marginally above .500 has a -1 run differential after 7 games along with 1 "extra" loss above what you'd expect given that differential.

Therefore, lets fire the manager. I know I used to be the one posting 17 times on these threads. And I know I can just go away and let everybody have their fun. But, man... Nothing that happens in 7 games is proof of anything. It's barely even evidence. Sometimes players play better than the play other times. Normal, to-be-expected variance trumps almost everything at this point.

Don't y'all have something better to do than navel gaze to this degree?

Evidently not

[westofyou]

To be fair to RTG, he’s made it clear that he is not basing this on the first seven games of the season, he’s basing it on the last five seasons.

Then where are the threads from November until now?

IF it was the last five seasons, I expect here would be a lot of threads demanding resignation prior to the beginning of this season. Instead it's a post after a loss during the first week of this season, leading me to believe that this season is the trigger.

But that's just me

[757690]

Then where are the threads from November until now?

IF it was the last five seasons, I expect here would be a lot of threads demanding resignation prior to the beginning of this season. Instead it's a post after a loss during the first week of this season, leading me to believe that this season is the trigger.

But that's just me

Straw that broke the camel’s back. You are correct, these first 7 games are the trigger. But without the last five seasons, this thread never happens.

It’s the past five seasons and these first 7 games.