MLB Post-Season General Discussion

[Kinsm]

WILD CARD GAMES
Winner advances

Tuesday, Oct. 5
• Yankees v. Red Sox (ESPN, 8 p.m. ET) --- RED SOX WIN 6 to 2 --- YANKEES ELIMINATED ---

Wednesday, Oct. 6
• Cardinals v. Dodgers (TBS, 8 p.m. ET) --- DODGERS WIN 3 to 1 --- CARDINALS ELIMINATED ---


DIVISION SERIES
Best-of-five

Thursday, Oct. 7
• White Sox v. Astros, Game 1 (FS1, 4 p.m. ET) --- ASTROS WIN 6 to 1 ---
• Red Sox v. Rays, Game 1 (FS1, 8 p.m. ET) --- RAYS WIN 5 to 0 ---

Friday, Oct. 8
• White Sox v. Astros, Game 2 (MLBN, 2 p.m. ET) --- ASTROS WIN 9 to 4 ---
• Braves v. Brewers, Game 1 (TBS, 4:30 p.m. ET) --- BREWERS WIN 2 to 1 ---
• Red Sox v. Rays, Game 2 (FS1, 7 p.m. ET) --- RED SOX WIN 14 to 6 ---
• Dodgers v. Giants, Game 1 (TBS, 9:30 p.m. ET) --- GIANTS WIN 4 to 0 ---

Saturday, Oct. 9
• Braves v. Brewers, Game 2 (TBS, 5 p.m. ET) --- BRAVES WIN 3 to 0 ---
• Dodgers v. Giants, Game 2 (TBS, 9 p.m. ET) --- DODGERS WIN 9 to 2 ---

Sunday, Oct. 10
• Rays v. Red Sox, Game 3 (MLBN, 4 p.m. ET) --- RED SOX WIN 6 to 4 ---
• Astros v. White Sox, Game 3 (FS1, 8 p.m. ET) --- WHITE SOX WIN 12 to 6 ---

Monday, Oct. 11
• Rays v. Red Sox, Game 4* (FS1 or MLBN) --- RED SOX WIN 6 to 5 --- RAYS ELIMINATED ---
• Astros v. White Sox, Game 4* (FS1 or MLBN) --- POSTPONED ---
• Giants v. Dodgers, Game 3 (TBS) --- GIANTS WIN 1 to 0 ---
• Brewers v. Braves, Game 3 (TBS) --- BRAVES WIN 3 to 0 ---

Tuesday, Oct. 12
• Astros v. White Sox, Game 4* (FS1 or MLBN) --- ASTROS WIN 10 to 1 --- WHITE SOX ELIMINATED ---
• Giants v. Dodgers, Game 4* (TBS) --- DODGERS WIN 7 to 2 ---
• Brewers v. Braves, Game 4* (TBS) --- BRAVES WIN 5 to 4 --- BREWERS ELIMINATED ---

Wednesday, Oct. 13
• Red Sox v. Rays, Game 5* (FS1) --- UNNECESSARY ---
• White Sox v. Astros, Game 5* (FS1) --- UNNECESSARY ---

Thursday, Oct. 14
• Dodgers v. Giants, Game 5* (TBS) --- DODGERS WIN 2 to 1 --- GIANTS ELIMINATED ---
• Braves v. Brewers, Game 5* (TBS) --- UNNECESSARY ---


LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES
Best-of-seven

Friday, Oct. 15
• Red Sox v. Astros, Game 1 (FOX) --- ASTROS WIN 5 to 4 ---

Saturday, Oct. 16
• Red Sox v. Astros, Game 2 (FOX or FS1) --- RED SOX WIN 9 to 5 ---
• Dodgers v. Braves, Game 1 (TBS) --- BRAVES WIN 3 to 2 ---

Sunday, Oct. 17
• Dodgers v. Braves, Game 2 (TBS) --- BRAVES WIN 5 to 4 ---

Monday, Oct. 18
• Astros v. Red Sox, Game 3 (FS1) --- RED SOX WIN 12 to 3 ---

Tuesday, Oct. 19
• Braves v. Dodgers, Game 3 (TBS) --- DODGERS WIN 6 to 5 ---
• Astros v. Red Sox, Game 4 (FS1) --- ASTROS WIN 9 to 2 ---

Wednesday, Oct. 20
• Astros v. Red Sox, Game 5* (FS1) --- ASTROS WIN 9 to 1 ---
• Braves v. Dodgers, Game 4 (TBS) --- BRAVES WIN 9 to 2 ---

Thursday, Oct. 21
• Braves v. Dodgers, Game 5* (TBS) --- DODGERS WIN 11 to 2 ---

Friday, Oct. 22
• Red Sox v. Astros, Game 6* (FS1) --- ASTROS WIN 5 to 0 --- RED SOX ELIMINATED ---

Saturday, Oct. 23
• Dodgers v. Braves, Game 6* (TBS) --- BRAVES WIN 4 to 2 --- DODGERS ELIMINATED ---
• Red Sox v. Astros, Game 7* (FOX or FS1) --- UNNECESSARY ---

Sunday, Oct. 24
• Dodgers v. Braves, Game 7* (TBS) --- UNNECESSARY ---


WORLD SERIES
Best-of-seven

Tuesday, Oct. 26
• Braves v. Astros, World Series Game 1 (FOX)

Wednesday, Oct. 27
• Braves v. Astros, World Series Game 2 (FOX)

Thursday, Oct. 28
• Travel Day

Friday, Oct. 29
• Astros v. Braves, World Series Game 3 (FOX)

Saturday, Oct. 30
• Astros v. Braves, World Series Game 4 (FOX)

Sunday, Oct. 31
• Astros v. Braves, World Series Game 5* (FOX)

Monday, Nov. 1
• Travel Day*

Tuesday, Nov. 2
• Braves v. Astros, World Series Game 6* (FOX)

Wednesday, Nov. 3
• Braves v. Astros, World Series Game 7* (FOX)



All games telecast on MLB Network, TBS, FOX and FS1 will be available to MLB.TV subscribers who are authenticated subscribers to the applicable network through a participating pay TV provider.

* - if necessary

[Kinsm]

MGM: (as of 2 pm EST 10/4/21)


ODDS TO WIN 2021 MLB WORLD SERIES
Team Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers +400
Houston Astros +475
San Francisco Giants +600
Tampa Bay Rays +650
Chicago White Sox +700
Milwaukee Brewers +800
Atlanta Braves +1200
New York Yankees +1200
Boston Red Sox +1400
St. Louis Cardinals +2500


ODDS TO WIN 2021 MLB NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers +200
San Francisco Giants +250
Milwaukee Brewers +325
Atlanta Braves +500
St. Louis Cardinals +1200


ODDS TO WIN 2021 MLB AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT
Team Odds
Houston Astros +225
Tampa Bay Rays +275
Chicago White Sox +300
New York Yankees +550
Boston Red Sox +600

[DocRed]

Rockies extend Senzatela for $50M/5yrs :X...that's a lot of coin for a guy with an ERA+ of 108 this year and 102 career.

[Boston Red]

Pretty crazy for a team in the one game wild card to be World Series favorites! I suspect they'll go from +400 to more like +250 if they win tomorrow night.

[M2]

Rockies extend Senzatela for $50M/5yrs :X...that's a lot of coin for a guy with an ERA+ of 108 this year and 102 career.

That's a spectacular contract for the Rox. Breaks out to $7.2M for each of the next two years and $12M per season for 2024-26, and there's a $14M option for 2027. He's 26 and has shown he can survive their murder-for-pitchers park. That will take him through age 31. He's almost a duplicate of Tyler Mahle in terms of age, service time and current contract. Mahle's slightly ahead in terms of his overall numbers and his peak performance (this season). The Reds should be working overtime to get Mahle onto that kind of contract.

[Kinsm]

That's a spectacular contract for the Rox. Breaks out to $7.2M for each of the next two years and $12M per season for 2024-26, and there's a $14M option for 2027. He's 26 and has shown he can survive their murder-for-pitchers park. That will take him through age 31. He's almost a duplicate of Tyler Mahle in terms of age, service time and current contract. Mahle's slightly ahead in terms of his overall numbers and his peak performance (this season). The Reds should be working overtime to get Mahle onto that kind of contract.

No chance in hell Mahle signs a similar extension.

[Boston Red]

Also, if the Dodgers win the Wild Card and then beat the Giants in the first round, who gets home field advantage in the NLCS? Braves/Brewers as division champs or Dodgers due to superior record? I'll be in Milwaukee on Saturday the 23rd, so this is more than just curiousity!

[Kinsm]

Also, if the Dodgers win the Wild Card and then beat the Giants in the first round, who gets home field advantage in the NLCS? Braves/Brewers as division champs or Dodgers due to superior record? I'll be in Milwaukee on Saturday the 23rd, so this is more than just curiousity!

Home-field advantage in this best-of-seven series (Games 1-2 and 6-7) goes to the Division Series winner with the higher regular-season winning percentage, but never a Wild Card team.

[M2]

No chance in hell Mahle signs a similar extension.

Probably not, because (again) that is a great deal for the Rox and you can't assume every 26-year-old pitcher is going to follow suit. Yet they should be making every effort to see what kind of extension they can get him to sign. FWIW, Mahle's not making $7.2M next year if he goes through arbitration. So there is an opportunity to see if they can entice him with more up front money.

[Boston Red]

Home-field advantage in this best-of-seven series (Games 1-2 and 6-7) goes to the Division Series winner with the higher regular-season winning percentage, but never a Wild Card team.

Sweet!

[Kinsm]

Probably not, because (again) that is a great deal for the Rox and you can't assume every 26-year-old pitcher is going to follow suit. Yet they should be making every effort to see what kind of extension they can get him to sign. FWIW, Mahle's not making $7.2M next year if he goes through arbitration. So there is an opportunity to see if they can entice him with more up front money.

7 years and 100M$

[Boston Red]

7 years and 100M$

Reds can't do that with a pitcher.

[M2]

7 years and 100M$

What are the annuals inside of that?

[Kinsm]

What are the annuals inside of that?

A Mahle extension would probably look something like 6,12,18,18,18,18,18 give or take a mil or two per season and maybe plus or minus a season. I’d have to spend some significant time looking at FA comps and arb comps to be more secure in an estimate. But you can rest assured it would be significantly more than Senzatela’s extension.

[M2]

A Mahle extension would probably look something like 6,12,18,18,18,18,18 give or take a mil or two per season and maybe plus or minus a season. I’d have to spend some significant time looking at FA comps and arb comps to be more secure in an estimate. But you can rest assured it would be significantly more than Senzatela’s extension.

I'm wondering if there's a midpoint between that and the Senzatela deal, e.g. 6/75. That would break out to 7.5, 7.5, 15, 15, 15, 15. Maybe you put a player option on that last 15.