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Thread: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

  1. #1
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    Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Continue discussion here.

    Reds are 7-3.
    Last edited by Kc61; 04-06-2026 at 11:43 PM.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Just one game behind the Dodgers and Brewers for home field throughout the NL playoffs.

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    Member OesterPoster's Avatar
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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Looking at the run differentials in the standings, and it's pretty funny being 7-3 with a negative diff. Those Dodgers/Brewers/Yankees run diffs are impressive...yet they have almost the same record as the Reds.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Advanced metrics not too kind to Reds. Offense has been terrible. Reds with lowest BA with RISP and with men on base. But there are some pretty nice items underlying the 7-3 record -

    1. Seven of 10 games played Reds allowed 3 runs or fewer.

    2. Three shutouts, a one run allowed game, a two runs allowed game, all wins.

    3. Reds lead MLB both in saves, 6, and holds, 13.

    4. No errors in ten games.

    5. Reds allowed 30 runs, third fewest in MLB, some teams already over 60 runs allowed.

    6. Reds fourth best in ERA+.

    7. Reds mid-pack in DPs converted with 18, last year dead last.

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    Member Ron Madden's Avatar
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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Elly De La Cruz hit a ball 20 feet into the ground — and turned it into a double
    Do you know how impressively you have to hit a baseball that goes almost straight into the ground to then turn it into a double?

    Cincinnati Reds superstar Elly De La Cruz demonstrated such a swing on Monday night.

    He hit a grounder that couldn't have gone more than 20 feet in front of the plate before it's initial contact with the earth.

    It was hit so hard, though, that it zipped through the infield.

    Still, the centerfielder played it well. Most hitters would be happy with a hard-hit single. Not Elly.

    He showed off his blazing speed to race to second with a double.
    Watch Here:
    https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/re...123622319.html

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Statscast has an expected team wOBA of .311 (18th in MLB) compared to the team's actual wOBA of .286 (26th in MLB). So there's probably been a little bit of bad luck so far as to why the offense has looked so putrid.

    On the other hand, huge gap between the team's expected ERA (26th in MLB) and actual ERA (5th in MLB) to where the pitching has gotten better results than what the inputs say they should.

    All in all, it's 10 games and I'm glad the Reds are 7-3.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Quote Originally Posted by Kc61 View Post
    Advanced metrics not too kind to Reds. Offense has been terrible. Reds with lowest BA with RISP and with men on base. But there are some pretty nice items underlying the 7-3 record -

    1. Seven of 10 games played Reds allowed 3 runs or fewer.

    2. Three shutouts, a one run allowed game, a two runs allowed game, all wins.

    3. Reds lead MLB both in saves, 6, and holds, 13.

    4. No errors in ten games.

    5. Reds allowed 30 runs, third fewest in MLB, some teams already over 60 runs allowed.

    6. Reds fourth best in ERA+.

    7. Reds mid-pack in DPs converted with 18, last year dead last.
    This doesn't get enough response from fans.

    Clean innings-- stacked one after another-- is a key to winning baseball. While DRS doesn't yet show it, if the Reds continue to work error-free, it will.

    Too, individually, some of the hitters have been rather unlucky. Stephenson, for example, is doing everything he can-- he's not swinging at bad pitches (93rd percentile!) and hitting the ball hard (95.2 average exit velocity 96th percentile) but is .167/ .200/ .417/ .617 in 24 ABs. If he continues to hit like that, those numbers will jump. Ditto McLain, who's chasing even less, walking much more, and hitting the ball nearly as hard, but with little to show for it.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Quote Originally Posted by Bourgeois Zee View Post
    This doesn't get enough response from fans.

    Clean innings-- stacked one after another-- is a key to winning baseball. While DRS doesn't yet show it, if the Reds continue to work error-free, it will.

    Too, individually, some of the hitters have been rather unlucky. Stephenson, for example, is doing everything he can-- he's not swinging at bad pitches (93rd percentile!) and hitting the ball hard (95.2 average exit velocity 96th percentile) but is .167/ .200/ .417/ .617 in 24 ABs. If he continues to hit like that, those numbers will jump. Ditto McLain, who's chasing even less, walking much more, and hitting the ball nearly as hard, but with little to show for it.
    One thing about clean defense is that it avoids extra pitches and extra high leverage situations. Jocketty used to emphasize this. IMO it’s especially important in the infield. This would be Reds’ rationale for acquiring Hayes, and while I didn’t like that trade, it’s worth noting.

    Also would note that Reds pitching has one of the largest E-F gaps, -.98, meaning that ERA is much better than FIP. That implies defense and luck are helping run prevention. But even if Reds run allowance is a bit lucky, they have a quality staff and run prevention should remain a plus.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Man, I came here to feel good and you guys are like, well, the advanced metrics actually say we kinda suck and are getting lucky.

    Kidding! I would much rather have this than have a crazy-good win differential, but losing pretty much every close game. 7-3 is fun! Let's make it 8-3.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    I have to think Reds are considering a move of Hinds and/or Bleday to the big club.

    There really isn’t very much to lose. The outfield isn’t productive and isn’t special defensively. If Hinds and/or Bleday don’t hit, so you change things again.

    There are a number of ways to do it. I wouldn’t mind seeing Marte go to AAA to become a CFer. But we’re getting close to a change, I think.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Quote Originally Posted by Kc61 View Post
    I have to think Reds are considering a move of Hinds and/or Bleday to the big club.

    There really isn’t very much to lose. The outfield isn’t productive and isn’t special defensively. If Hinds and/or Bleday don’t hit, so you change things again.

    There are a number of ways to do it. I wouldn’t mind seeing Marte go to AAA to become a CFer. But we’re getting close to a change, I think.
    Hinds for sure. Especially when Tito told Hines personally ... and then told the media ... "Rece did enough to make this team (out of spring). But the role would have been a backup role and we want him to play."

    Then he goes down and continues raking at AAA. I think Hines > Marte. And I expect it to happen relatively soon.

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Quote Originally Posted by JFLegal View Post
    Hinds for sure. Especially when Tito told Hines personally ... and then told the media ... "Rece did enough to make this team (out of spring). But the role would have been a backup role and we want him to play."

    Then he goes down and continues raking at AAA. I think Hines > Marte. And I expect it to happen relatively soon.
    Somebody mentioned they'll probably try to keep Marte up until his stupid bobblehead day, which is probably true. I do vaguely a similar situation happening before, when they actually did send the guy down so he wasn't on the team during his bobblehead day, but I can't remember who it was (or if I just hallucinated that memory entirely).

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    While it's true the OF hasn't produced a whole lot, I will say that Friedl's heating up a bit and even so, his OBP the last week (6 games) is .391....

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

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    Meanwhile, down on the farm...

    I only want those guys up here if they're gonna play every day. Otherwise, leave them to keep on track, please!

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    Re: Reds General Discussion 2026, Part 2

    Reds suck, they should be 10-0
    What would you say.....ya do here?

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